TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7243…83f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.37
Will the method of victory for the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Argentina Win: Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the announcers say "Euro" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.71
Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$28.22
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$184
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.13
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-95.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Will Hubert Hurkacz advance to the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$20.8
Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Cameron Norrie be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.82
Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.26
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.72
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.49
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.13
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT478.5%4 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-67.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Will Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.26
Will Tom Kim finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Maverick McNealy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.82
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+859.4%+$1,092.64
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.78
Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.46
Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.37
Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.63
Will Latvia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.09
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.68
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$32.52
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$36.68
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+45.9%+$9.02
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.07
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.29
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.29
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.71
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.59
Will David Malukas win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Felix Rosenqvist win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$42.95
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+134.1%+$30.38
Will Mercedes double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Ferrari achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jorrit Bergsma (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.6%+$48.26
Will Marijke Groenewoud (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+118.6%+$16.25
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$28.01
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Joep Wennemars (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.53
Will Jenning De Boo (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.21
Will Jenning De Boo (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.05
All 7 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$246
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hallbacked Fury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$37.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.