World Politics · resolved market
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8ac9f489f38e440a89c11fd0427057599ce7d2f7fe5bbc5f204ec47047ef60e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,586,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,041,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,586,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7640…7e91backed No | 9c | 302,334$26,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,458.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…a101backed No | 6c | 104,456$6,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,225.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 5c | 80,702$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.87 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…960dbacked No | 11c | 66,356$7,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,048.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 9c | 62,842$5,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,859.22 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ed…6362backed No | 9c | 51,028$4,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,596.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccf…7c83backed No | 6c | 47,696$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d10…1f92backed No | 12c | 33,758$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 7c | 26,288$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.68 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…4a81backed No | 9c | 24,276$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…2c99backed No | 2c | 23,221$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ee…354ebacked No | 10c | 21,413$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…51b8backed No | 7c | 20,385$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 8c | 17,925$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.85 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 8c | 17,522$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.33 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…6ffabacked No | 10c | 16,771$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…070fbacked No | 4c | 15,603$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…cb51backed No | 6c | 15,478$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…0ac2backed No | 8c | 14,924$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…8924backed No | 6c | 14,222$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…fc6cbacked No | 5c | 14,129$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 14,058$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.19 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…7f89backed No | 3c | 13,980$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…c4e1backed No | 7c | 13,644$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a5…ad6dbacked No | 0c | 13,321$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…1a5ebacked No | 8c | 13,044$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…66debacked No | 3c | 12,502$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…da58backed No | 8c | 12,398$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abe…8030backed No | 10c | 12,253$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…9c37backed No | 9c | 11,958$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 7c | 11,896$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.12 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…c80dbacked No | 10c | 11,823$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38b…8cf1backed No | 4c | 11,581$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 11,557$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.03 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…eb7ebacked No | 9c | 11,150$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff3a…d962backed No | 9c | 11,058$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 7c | 11,014$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.85 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 10c | 10,903$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked No | 0c | 10,865$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 55 | 0%0 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 10,780$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.81 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03e…c860backed No | 1c | 10,529$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6e…26babacked No | 9c | 10,381$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc3…3bedbacked No | 5c | 10,322$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…b45ebacked No | 3c | 10,176$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 1c | 10,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…0149backed No | 6c | 9,952$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59af…9ab6backed No | 8c | 8,961$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 8c | 8,929$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.26 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…219ebacked No | 3c | 8,805$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 7c | 8,641$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.49 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…02e6backed No | 6c | 8,337$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7950…1d42backed No | 7c | 8,252$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…863fbacked No | 9c | 8,103$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf290…df7abacked No | 7c | 7,535$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…55debacked No | 4c | 7,306$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a5…da8bbacked No | 3c | 7,260$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 7c | 7,067$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.39 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x688d…9704backed No | 9c | 7,029$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3424backed No | 4c | 6,777$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed No | 6c | 6,675$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.54 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x007e…b2f3backed No | 9c | 6,248$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 7c | 5,990$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.05 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 7c | 5,868$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.3 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f97…a022backed No | 8c | 5,792$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…e515backed No | 4c | 5,691$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…894cbacked No | 2c | 5,418$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…fbb3backed No | 4c | 5,367$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…9f96backed No | 3c | 5,330$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 7c | 5,256$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.31 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…a2b6backed No | 1c | 5,131$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…070cbacked No | 0c | 5,105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2681…d736backed No | 4c | 4,934$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a7…822dbacked No | 5c | 4,861$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…036ebacked No | 6c | 4,773$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…ac44backed No | 9c | 4,615$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…0095backed No | 15c | 4,154$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 3,963$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…8e11backed No | 13c | 3,950$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…ac55backed No | 3c | 3,805$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…3392backed No | 2c | 3,775$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…fb99backed No | 4c | 3,687$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…90a7backed No | 6c | 3,429$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…1ec1backed No | 7c | 3,409$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920f…279bbacked No | 15c | 3,401$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4056…8d95backed No | 3c | 3,336$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…d377backed No | 8c | 3,280$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfd…8eb5backed No | 10c | 3,190$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…1c3dbacked No | 10c | 3,184$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 7c | 3,084$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da2…c3c5backed No | 2c | 2,899$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a40…8607backed No | 4c | 2,794$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…3adbbacked No | 4c | 2,787$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc96…5f8fbacked No | 11c | 2,771$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f28…b5f1backed No | 2c | 2,771$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d5…5594backed No | 10c | 2,767$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…4508backed No | 9c | 2,752$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…e460backed No | 7c | 2,684$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…ea19backed No | 5c | 2,655$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…91c9backed No | 1c | 2,651$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa97…22adbacked No | 4c | 2,560$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?this page
- Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?No won
- Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?No won
- Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.