TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x793c…e8da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
456
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT9355.9%52 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$22.3
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$35.97
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,992.6
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.68
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$741
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,781Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$664.76
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.54
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$7.6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33%+$66.71
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$18.68
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,712Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$2,662.55
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.81
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+84%+$39.6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,166.19
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100.9%+$205.7
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$200.77
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$6,603.95
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$9,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25.4%+$2,435.31
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+26.7%+$1,913.96
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.6%+$67.9
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$490.88
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,774Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+27.2%+$1,844.83
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT6139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$447.95
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+83%+$101.63
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.79
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.77
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$50.59
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$181.02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.59
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$32.49
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.81
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$180.86
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.23
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$266.75
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.77
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.89
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.84
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.93
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63%+$66.32
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$30.64
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT3627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.65
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$139.46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.85
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$179.57
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$57.79
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,958.43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$450.42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$953.88
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$8,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$8,981.66
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$36.3
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$47.37
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$127.46
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$294.97
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$310.93
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$231.29
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.45
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$81.03
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.86
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$165.47
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$154.93
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$430.92
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.49
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$591.65
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.26
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+46%+$72.7
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.38
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,391.33
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$206.65
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.88
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.62
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$64.18
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+69.4%+$43.44
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$675.32
Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$115.45
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$128.56
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$166.3
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$94.86
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+50.3%+$483.22
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.35
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$195.73
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+284.4%+$42.27
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,064.02
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+44.3%+$203.18
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.8%+$755.16
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,072.99
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.3%+$281.5
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$137.76
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$50.4
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12,496Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.2%+$3,270.89
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.25
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15,301.88
Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40.96
Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37.7%+$19.23
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$203.48
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,223.05
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,742Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+45.1%+$1,686.45
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$705.94
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+42.8%+$408.7
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37.5%+$43.6
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$966.03
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25.9%+$179.52
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+27.5%+$160.6
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.6
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59.54
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$100.77
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75.96
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$165.09
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.27
Will Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
Will UD Almería win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$32.76
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+91.6%+$184.99
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$93.92
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+127.3%+$16.8
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+76.5%+$19.5
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+100%+$31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$32.02
Will Real Zaragoza vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.5%+$3.77
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.3%+$7.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-50.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,146.34
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.82
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.4%+$244.91
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+274.3%+$879.34
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$367.17
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.29
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.68
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45.74
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.38
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$293.36
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$58.77
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.03
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+97%+$67.23
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$109.02
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$29.66
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.66
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$94.42
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$336.68
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+60%+$15
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.3%+$52.32
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+67.4%+$127.1
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+47.1%+$24.79
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.6%+$75.41
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$198.74
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$64.04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.37
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.28
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.75
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22,162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37.5%+$8,321.57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,807.64
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+26.7%+$99.7
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35.49
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$79.92
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$176.47
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115.06
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$746.91
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$588.96
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+73.4%+$83.6
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$186.17
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$118.97
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$98.84
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$209.34
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.9%+$379.84
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$125.18
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$195.37
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.4%+$27.23
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+55.8%+$148.74
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$466.34
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+163.2%+$26.88
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$128.4
Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+31%+$6.87
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$122.8
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+60.1%+$12.39
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+194.1%+$19.8
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.25
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40%+$237.88
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+185.7%+$26
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.85
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+31.9%+$8.69
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.2%+$13.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$238
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.4%+$98.35
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$182.85
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+27.9%+$224.46
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+30.2%+$29.26
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$64.45
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31.05
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$96.38
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28.02
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.7%+$233.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$75.9
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+83%+$45.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$4.2
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+115.3%+$414.69
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+57.4%+$116.06
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,082.81
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,761Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.2%+$742.52
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,762Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.7%+$822.11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$35.83
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$124.79
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$19.5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.13
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+39.9%+$17.1
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-51.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-77.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+97%+$9.85
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$54.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$47.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.