College Football · resolved market
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x685c9cf69eea557b09e2ddfc5d3b89db823d68506abdc2842a85a3403ce459ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb244…95fbbacked Yes | 2c | 9,494$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 1c | 8,848$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 28c | 5,233$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.39 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 28c | 3,304$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.82 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…2e70backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed Yes | 26c | 1,664$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 1,454$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.72 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,421$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.03 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 64c | 1,319$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.63 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 30c | 1,287$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…8747backed Yes | 3c | 1,141$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 37c | 898$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.24 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 66c | 819.99$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.76 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 68c | 734$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 69c | 720.31$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…aad0backed Yes | 36c | 556.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 65c | 550$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.31 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Yes | 32c | 500$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…2598backed Yes | 40c | 497.38$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 62c | 482$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Yes | 35c | 476.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.56 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 21c | 473$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked No | 67c | 447.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Yes | 23c | 436.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes | 38c | 426$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Yes | 38c | 407.11$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…77d1backed Yes | 36c | 403.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Yes | 39c | 322.87$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Yes | 41c | 303$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 300$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…f11fbacked Yes | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 14c | 293.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 70c | 285.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 34c | 268$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 59c | 260$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +278.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes | 43c | 259.52$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 33c | 255$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeed…2fc4backed Yes | 41c | 244.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Yes | 22c | 244.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b89…693cbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 15c | 226.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 21c | 219$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9d…a43dbacked Yes | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…128fbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed Yes | 33c | 198$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 58c | 195$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes | 29c | 191$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed Yes | 38c | 181$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked No | 66c | 181$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…cc23backed Yes | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 42c | 158$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…379bbacked Yes | 40c | 151.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…f991backed No | 72c | 142$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…aa30backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked No | 62c | 135$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…282abacked No | 71c | 134$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 38c | 126$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed No | 62c | 126$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 39c | 123$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…58f8backed Yes | 25c | 119$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 68c | 111.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed Yes | 34c | 107$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed Yes | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd956…ea37backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 32c | 85.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -8.5wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 58c | 83.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…13b5backed No | 63c | 81.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Yes | 38c | 81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 80c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 67c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed No | 67c | 67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 66c | 65.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…5709backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…8c3ebacked No | 71c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed No | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 61c | 54.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 62c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 38c | 52.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 23c | 49.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 31c | 48.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 35c | 43.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed No | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…a23bbacked No | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked Yes | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5a…f00bbacked Yes | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…b293backed Yes | 64c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Yes | 42c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…2467backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…6ae2backed Yes | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?this page
- Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Austin Simmons win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Cade Klubnik win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Carson Beck win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will DJ Lagway win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Dante Moore win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Dylan Raiola win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?Yes won
- Will Garrett Nussemeier win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Gunner Stockton win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jeremiah Smith win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jeremiyah Love win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will John Mateer win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will LaNorris Sellers win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Marcel Reed win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Ryan Williams win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Ty Simpson win the Heisman Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.