TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bf3…379b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 51 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 51 out of 100; worst College Football at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Ohio State (-10.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: Louisville (-2.5)backed Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Akron (-5.5)backed Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Arkansas (-4.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Liberty (-3.5)backed Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Utah (-14.5)backed Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Wyoming (-5.5)backed Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Oklahoma (-4.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-3.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Virginia vs. North Carolinabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.03
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-7.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: North Texas (-27.5)backed Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
South Alabama vs. Georgia Statebacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Spread: Missouri State (-1.5)backed New Mexico State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Middle Tennessee vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Spread: Kennesaw State (-3.5)backed Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
Georgia State vs. Georgia Southernbacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$4.94
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
San Jose State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$7.6
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+102%+$40.82
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.77
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.8
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+54.2%+$10.85
Spread: Chargers (-1.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Bears vs. Commanders: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Raiders (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.72
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.