College Football · resolved market
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4153fb3bbb668ecd787b3dcebe5a2c93e61bc59a94fe3a09b5081439ff275679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwesternof Nebraska Cornhuskers, Northwestern
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Northwestern | 52c | 17,784$9,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,545.41 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 10,298$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840.2 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Northwestern | 53c | 7,286$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.42 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…d5c5backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 5,038$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 4,899$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.51 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Northwestern | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Northwestern | 54c | 1,959$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.26 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Northwestern | 52c | 1,463$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.74 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Northwestern | 56c | 1,430$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.04 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 1,410$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.17 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Northwestern | 51c | 846.45$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.76 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern | 52c | 797.95$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.24 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…814fbacked Northwestern | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Northwestern | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Northwestern | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Northwestern | 48c | 360.33$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Northwestern | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Northwestern | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Northwestern | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 140.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…f1b3backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Northwestern | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Northwestern | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…3a31backed Northwestern | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Northwestern | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 50c | 90.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…a394backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…cce3backed Northwestern | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Northwestern | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d8…69fabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…21f8backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…379bbacked Northwestern | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed Northwestern | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…de3abacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…698bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 20.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed Northwestern | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-7.5)this page
- Northwestern vs. Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska Cornhuskers won
- Northwestern vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 43.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.