TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c0f…a394

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST2650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Celtics vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+89.3%+$17.85
Suns vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Rocketsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$89.03
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Heat vs. Grizzliesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$71.69
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$102.86
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
49ers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bears vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+63%+$25.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-61.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.39
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.47
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+83.8%+$11.81
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.73
Will Team Secret Whales win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.01
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+135.7%+$98.9
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.31
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pan Pacific Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Maya Jointbacked Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.