TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$371,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,360 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche32c86,678$27,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,977.351,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Avalanche57c59,863$34,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,121.856649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hurricanes43c34,986$15,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,942.288151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Hurricanes44c29,885$13,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,605.2221652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Avalanche15c21,845$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.7714538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Avalanche18c12,457$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.833818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-62.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Hurricanes43c12,000$5,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8405950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Hurricanes47c10,967$5,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,812.6510352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche49c10,293$5,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,076.5958841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Hurricanes44c10,000$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,65014253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Avalanche55c8,954$4,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,913.2970547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes45c7,671$3,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,253.421,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hurricanes44c7,500$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,18089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Avalanche25c7,379$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.8210565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2cf4…ea97backed Avalanche55c6,612$3,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,636.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7485…dd76backed Hurricanes45c6,434$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Hurricanes44c5,734$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202.6941246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Avalanche47c5,554$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.9985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hurricanes35c4,629$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.5714451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Hurricanes45c4,500$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.9719451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes76c4,014$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.993,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche18c3,498$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.7189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche52c3,392$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.272,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Hurricanes73c3,257$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.4895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Hurricanes44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Hurricanes49c2,812$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.3442847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Avalanche56c2,709$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.6630848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Hurricanes61c2,655$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.866163.9%39 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Hurricanes63c2,600$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.75152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Hurricanes43c2,399$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.4869550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hurricanes72c2,315$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.051,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Avalanche50c2,281$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.2240550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Hurricanes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.8851045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Avalanche55c2,240$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Avalanche21c2,043$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6253…20a6backed Hurricanes53c1,910$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.394447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes43c1,562$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.091,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Hurricanes50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.013154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche50c1,299$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.6644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Avalanche53c1,259$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.1141340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Hurricanes43c1,179$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.6137847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hurricanes80c1,165$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.981,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Avalanche47c1,057$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Avalanche55c1,046$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.4887447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Hurricanes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55020137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Avalanche56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Hurricanes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5707157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Hurricanes45c995$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.662249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Hurricanes45c961.11$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.613740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Hurricanes67c769.88$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25637857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hurricanes43c708$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.561,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Hurricanes44c690$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.415448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hurricanes44c678$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.6875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…9b91backed Avalanche55c654.55$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36050%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadbd…fe34backed Hurricanes46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche55c609$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.951,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Avalanche54c550.92$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4813158.8%77 W · 54 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca8e…a742backed Avalanche55c509.97$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.493857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b95…d040backed Hurricanes46c438.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc913…81d6backed Avalanche56c438$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe275…cf04backed Hurricanes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+48%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x144f…a1fdbacked Avalanche56c434$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.041154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Hurricanes60c410.5$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.927149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Avalanche56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…4888backed Avalanche53c350$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bc…80f7backed Hurricanes77c326.67$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.931560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Hurricanes44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16875946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Avalanche24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7272448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Hurricanes71c292.81$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9433848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Hurricanes44c285.54$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.93644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x716d…eaf2backed Hurricanes80c268.4$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.961963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Hurricanes45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6724347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes74c257.64$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.431,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Hurricanes44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14074951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed83…a91fbacked Avalanche56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Hurricanes46c249.28$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9538744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Hurricanes29c238.02$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16910848.1%52 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2567…2371backed Avalanche55c236.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309552.6%50 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12cb…cc16backed Avalanche17c232.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-79.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Hurricanes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2223047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d6…bec9backed Hurricanes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Hurricanes45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12120446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f8…e156backed Avalanche56c214.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c2…a30cbacked Avalanche55c200.2$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.111241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Hurricanes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127745.5%35 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Hurricanes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Hurricanes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11243944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Avalanche56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11238046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Hurricanes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1105957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Hurricanes45c199.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.991,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93c6…90d0backed Hurricanes50c194.17$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.53748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Hurricanes48c178.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.988846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Hurricanes45c177.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.781,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1335…d00fbacked Hurricanes56c177.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.023237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Hurricanes46c151.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+64.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Hurricanes44c140$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.423545.1%106 W · 129 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d6…42a7backed Hurricanes46c137.33$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.161747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Hurricanes45c137$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.353246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Avalanche55c136.36$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6829345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.