TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94d6…42a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Predatorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.58
Golden Knights vs. Panthersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.52
Hurricanes vs. Avalanchebacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$74.16
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.9
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$51.97
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$58.92
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$51.57
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.57
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$47.65
Wild vs. Capitalsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.95
Bruins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.72
Oilers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$33.5
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.84
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16.16
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.52
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$14.92
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.37
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.59
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$44.28
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.15
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$27.75
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.07
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.47
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$13.9
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.47
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.21
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Clemsonbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$66.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+158.7%+$22.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$22.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$46.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Dubois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.