TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Golden Knights, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$603,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$610,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,778 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Panthers48c222,923$107,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,393.3888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3657…6b14backed Golden Knights52c190,000$98,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,799.994452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Panthers50c162,116$80,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,501.529340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Golden Knights50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00030944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Golden Knights51c37,222$18,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,983.4121652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Golden Knights51c35,451$18,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,247.4831546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Golden Knights51c30,000$15,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,2505745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Panthers50c26,316$13,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,1581,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights50c22,102$11,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,051.161,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Golden Knights51c22,100$11,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,27113553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Golden Knights50c14,321$7,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,160.642369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Panthers48c9,874$4,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,122.4641246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers48c8,995$4,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,677.470547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Panthers48c7,889$3,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,075.6230551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Golden Knights50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7506737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9f0e…dd6ebacked Golden Knights52c7,413$3,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,854.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ee…9758backed Panthers48c7,413$3,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,854.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights50c6,666$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3331,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights36c5,480$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.643743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Panthers48c5,383$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.3914538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Panthers50c5,097$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.114067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Panthers48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9714253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers70c4,474$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.011,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Panthers48c4,166$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.321,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Golden Knights51c3,980$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.3719451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Panthers50c3,488$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7447659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Golden Knights9c3,354$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006833.8%23 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Golden Knights52c3,115$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.96046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Golden Knights33c2,883$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.282657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+66%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Panthers48c2,418$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.4663249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Golden Knights52c2,130$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Panthers49c2,050$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers48c2,000$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.8697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers49c1,900$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.9954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Golden Knights50c1,728$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.7540550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Golden Knights22c1,621$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.458841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights13c1,496$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8889636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights50c1,404$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.231,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Panthers50c1,361$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.6864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Panthers48c1,323$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.7315646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Golden Knights52c1,285$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.0345149.4%223 W · 228 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Panthers49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4953050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Golden Knights52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Panthers48c1,029$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.6437847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec9…2c29backed Panthers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Golden Knights51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5108240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Panthers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Golden Knights51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9925447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Golden Knights50c774$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38715448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Panthers58c773.5$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…b6e3backed Golden Knights52c747.4$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Golden Knights51c709.96$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.0824347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Panthers48c699.95$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.983644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Golden Knights51c599.98$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9968449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed Golden Knights52c590.38$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3071936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Panthers49c569.51$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9562249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Golden Knights52c550$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28610343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5788…ab1dbacked Panthers49c522.45$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.451163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f0…57e2backed Golden Knights52c522.44$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.671338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights26c508.79$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.421,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Golden Knights15c500$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1433848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Golden Knights50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25072448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbccf…5f55backed Golden Knights51c490$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Golden Knights51c468$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.681,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Golden Knights54c434.33$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.6933145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c88…61ebbacked Golden Knights52c432.65$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.981118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick53cpaid-65.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x090a…d780backed Panthers49c432.65$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.651080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd075…bdaabacked Panthers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Golden Knights25c399.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8742847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Golden Knights51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x425e…8b6cbacked Golden Knights52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c1…a55abacked Golden Knights52c380.77$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e0…a98fbacked Panthers49c380.76$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.191060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e9…3418backed Golden Knights53c367.92$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf425…4e8bbacked Panthers48c367.92$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.32785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+85%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fba…2aecbacked Panthers49c363.47$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.37683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e12…44babacked Golden Knights52c363.46$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-60%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x679b…a784backed Golden Knights53c354.72$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f74…85edbacked Panthers48c354.71$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.451060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Panthers50c347$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4930848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights49c335$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.152,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Panthers51c332$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6813435.8%48 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e92…cd3dbacked Golden Knights41c318.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13021245.8%97 W · 115 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c17…c022backed Golden Knights52c317.31$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe712…45a1backed Panthers49c317.31$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.83475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02b4…4adabacked Golden Knights52c303.85$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab9…2392backed Panthers49c303.84$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Panthers48c300$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.835349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Panthers49c285.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.711,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c0…65ecbacked Panthers48c283.02$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f49…1f1cbacked Golden Knights53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick55cpaid-68.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights28c275.7$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.463,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Panthers48c259.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.248748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Golden Knights51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.574951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb17…0a7cbacked Panthers48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+57.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ebf…a9d3backed Panthers48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Panthers51c235.29$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.23357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.