TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdda2…4375

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST3650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$960
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$939.98
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$819.98
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,020
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,130
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$265
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,180
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+132.6%+$569.94
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+138.1%+$280.9
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$880
Blue Jackets vs. Flamesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+75.4%+$430
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$480
Stars vs. Panthersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$734.12
Penguins vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$880
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$704.97
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$780
Kings vs. Blackhawksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$430
Golden Knights vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$440
Avalanche vs. Devilsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$449.97
Golden Knights vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$520
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$489.98
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$470
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$540
Ducks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2544%11 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
John Collins: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$19.5
Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$17.92
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.76
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+196.5%+$20.01
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.13
Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$18.85
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$370
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$540
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$530
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.97
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$669.94
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$379.99
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$529.99
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$530
All 25 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-74.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+72.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy vs. Old Dominionbacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$440
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+222.6%+$1,380
California vs. Virginia Techbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$869.98
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$351.07
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$759.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,410Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,589.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$430
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$990
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$480
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$505.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$55.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,220
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.