NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71dd4bb30879f07523f31b899294862a0ac4c3b521c8f7d4c216344ebc5765e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof 49ers, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,067,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,295,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,067,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,070 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Texans | 59c | 748,463$439,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309,260.65 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked 49ers | 41c | 693,271$281,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281,865.1 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Texans | 70c | 233,673$162,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,684.18 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed 49ers | 40c | 211,732$83,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,766.57 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed 49ers | 47c | 94,151$44,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,528.43 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Texans | 54c | 93,985$50,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,579.44 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed 49ers | 42c | 90,220$37,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,832.4 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Texans | 55c | 84,394$46,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,977.52 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Texans | 56c | 71,861$40,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,405.21 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texans | 56c | 66,265$37,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,937.39 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed 49ers | 21c | 60,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Texans | 56c | 56,124$31,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,694.5 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked 49ers | 41c | 51,660$21,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,180.59 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Texans | 52c | 51,268$26,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,608.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed 49ers | 27c | 51,129$13,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,850 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Texans | 73c | 49,205$35,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,519.24 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Texans | 57c | 39,957$22,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,175.65 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed 49ers | 44c | 39,203$17,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,415.26 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 49ers | 8c | 37,207$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.37 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked 49ers | 48c | 33,481$16,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,105.64 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Texans | 54c | 31,020$16,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,269.07 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed 49ers | 44c | 30,960$13,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,711.84 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked 49ers | 43c | 30,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked 49ers | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed 49ers | 46c | 26,375$12,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,132.49 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Texans | 50c | 26,224$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,224.35 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed 49ers | 42c | 24,759$10,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,296.7 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 49ers | 40c | 22,732$9,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,119.17 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed 49ers | 19c | 21,568$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.23 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Texans | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed 49ers | 46c | 20,000$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,100 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Texans | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.99 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed 49ers | 1c | 19,985$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed 49ers | 24c | 17,676$4,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Texans | 54c | 17,553$9,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,989.16 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked 49ers | 42c | 15,612$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,569.05 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed 49ers | 49c | 15,386$7,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,571.43 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texans | 54c | 14,482$7,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,624.05 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texans | 54c | 12,605$6,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.05 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked 49ers | 41c | 12,490$5,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,163.78 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…ec95backed 49ers | 45c | 12,210$5,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,494.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed 49ers | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked 49ers | 41c | 12,188$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 49ers | 20c | 11,919$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.25 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed 49ers | 42c | 11,371$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked 49ers | 44c | 10,916$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,803 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Texans | 55c | 10,909$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.09 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…bb56backed 49ers | 43c | 10,552$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,537.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Texans | 60c | 10,522$6,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.93 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texans | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Texans | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed 49ers | 25c | 9,723$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.33 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…5ebabacked Texans | 56c | 9,222$5,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Texans | 58c | 9,115$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.51 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texans | 57c | 8,869$5,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.54 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked 49ers | 39c | 8,656$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed 49ers | 41c | 8,350$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Texans | 54c | 8,072$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked 49ers | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed 49ers | 41c | 7,740$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.5 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed 49ers | 43c | 7,609$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed 49ers | 41c | 7,495$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.95 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texans | 74c | 7,459$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.15 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked 49ers | 14c | 7,230$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.49 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked 49ers | 31c | 6,967$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.61 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…16f3backed 49ers | 45c | 6,800$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e7…ee84backed Texans | 54c | 6,645$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked 49ers | 12c | 6,429$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.02 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed 49ers | 43c | 6,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texans | 57c | 5,902$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.96 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked 49ers | 43c | 5,879$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed 49ers | 19c | 5,757$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.81 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Texans | 56c | 5,640$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.95 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…3e95backed Texans | 54c | 5,568$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c4…e889backed 49ers | 45c | 5,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Texans | 67c | 5,386$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.47 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked 49ers | 43c | 5,378$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Texans | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked 49ers | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Texans | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 49ers | 29c | 4,761$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.2 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed 49ers | 26c | 4,595$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.77 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked 49ers | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texans | 57c | 4,080$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.9 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Texans | 53c | 4,077$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.23 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Texans | 50c | 4,014$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Texans | 52c | 4,003$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.23 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked 49ers | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…6a00backed 49ers | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed 49ers | 52c | 4,000$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked 49ers | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…6df4backed Texans | 56c | 3,979$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 49ers | 24c | 3,948$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.19 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…e40cbacked 49ers | 44c | 3,900$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked 49ers | 41c | 3,681$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Texans | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Texans | 59c | 3,560$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.6 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Texans | 59c | 3,558$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.59 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…3539backed 49ers | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ca…0f37backed Texans | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 49ers vs. Texansthis page
- 49ers vs. Texans: O/U 40.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Texans: O/U 41.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Texans: O/U 42.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Texans: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-2.5)Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.