TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf9ea…380d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,428
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,932Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,932
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,502
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,441.57
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,714
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,374
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,471Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$3,020.11
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,024Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+81.8%+$2,474.18
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,910Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$2,580.57
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,060
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,600
Hurricanes vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,246
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,861Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$2,158.3
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,574Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+156.4%+$2,461.9
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,352Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$2,448
Canucks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,392
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,432Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+117.4%+$2,854.96
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$937.7
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$694
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$5,757
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,975
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,046
Blackhawks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,228
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$418
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,404Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$1,390.37
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$902
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,583.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+212.5%+$2,380
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,318Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$2,933.61
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,415
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,571.08
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,768
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,397Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$2,483.56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,721
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$3,715.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,697
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,092Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$3,885.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,752
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,654Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$3,071.71
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,394Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+244.8%+$3,412.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$879
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,662
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,435Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$1,556.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$2,079
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+203%+$1,350.56
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$748
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,404Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,583.23
Will Everton win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.5
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$236.71
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$628
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$2,332.2
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,677.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,715.98
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,010Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+132.6%+$3,989.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$3,336
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$4,007.67
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$5,955
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$3,493
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,862Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+233.3%+$4,344.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,509
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,472
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$2,600
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+266.4%+$3,745.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,401Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+185.7%+$2,601.86
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,029
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$696
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,943.34
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,283.38
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$934.8
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,911
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,495.49
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$3,411
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$3,133
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,361.98
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,905
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+270.4%+$657
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$3,472.08
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+203%+$2,409.97
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,947Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+117.4%+$3,459.52
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,275Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$3,408.67
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+54.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$457.91
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Rodolfo Bellato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+203%+$2,598.79
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,946Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$5,004
UFC Fight Night: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Punahele Soriano (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Punahele Soriano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,967Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+82.5%+$4,924.53
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Finney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$3,131
UFC 325: Yizha vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Ofli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+233.3%+$4,943.67
UFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,341Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,341
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,344Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$1,917.82
UFC Fight Night: Rock vs. Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Aliev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37%+$82.71
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,599Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$1,526.24
Hokit vs. Gimenisbacked Gimenis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Klein vs. Rebeckibacked Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$434.53
Figueiredo vs. Jacksonbacked Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$730
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,063
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+170.3%+$5,679.45
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,709Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,709
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+115%+$5,985.9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$740.6
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,694Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,694
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,689
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$3,983.91
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,786Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+56.1%+$1,002.78
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$777.5
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$544.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,435
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+334.8%+$4,338.78
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,030
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,800
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+426.3%+$1,355.68
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,528
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$492.12
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$217.9
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$404.88
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$608
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.45
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$483.36
All 6 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+32.8%+$147.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,260
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.