Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3819d64f6c093548658efb4900184a72eac7485c4a822f980ca4f36a5a705ffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $838,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $822,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $838,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 586 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 192,838$73,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,229.5 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 75c | 120,000$89,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,800.54 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Yes | 39c | 100,000$38,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 25c | 55,274$13,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,329.62 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 27c | 55,106$15,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,077.79 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 26c | 47,522$12,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,075.34 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 74c | 45,391$33,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,589.38 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…3586backed Yes | 77c | 36,218$27,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,887.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 77c | 35,000$26,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,950 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…168bbacked Yes | 0c | 32,766$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 32,466$21,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,960.57 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 43c | 31,273$13,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,790.07 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 74c | 22,387$16,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,605.7 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Yes | 80c | 21,286$17,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,029.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 22c | 21,010$4,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,381.01 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 23c | 18,074$4,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,970.95 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 20c | 14,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 13,391$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,678.58 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 73c | 10,637$7,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,803.43 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed No | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 27c | 8,700$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,350.98 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…e6b0backed Yes | 78c | 8,097$6,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,334.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Yes | 37c | 6,999$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 21c | 6,939$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,512.45 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 73c | 6,790$4,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…bdb0backed Yes | 64c | 6,126$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 77c | 6,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 17c | 5,967$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.49 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…2d9dbacked Yes | 76c | 5,919$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,525.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 63c | 5,846$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 22c | 5,845$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,530.28 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6720…177cbacked Yes | 10c | 5,493$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 27c | 5,152$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.99 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed No | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked No | 22c | 4,999$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 27c | 4,800$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.33 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 74c | 4,603$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 23c | 4,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.97 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 4,038$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.9 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 4,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ea82backed Yes | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed Yes | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 47c | 3,999$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.75 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…1fb3backed No | 20c | 3,392$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 27c | 3,329$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 23c | 3,200$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 72c | 3,172$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.9 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 70c | 2,760$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.59 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa326…4556backed Yes | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 28c | 2,692$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.14 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked Yes | 79c | 2,638$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed No | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 24c | 2,391$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.01 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.95 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 27c | 2,266$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.7 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 23c | 2,260$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Yes | 80c | 2,100$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 22c | 2,050$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…3d88backed Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 62c | 1,938$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,925$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 20c | 1,820$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 62c | 1,793$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.06 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 26c | 1,785$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.9 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Yes | 77c | 1,716$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc832…536bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,714$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 31c | 1,622$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.76 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,607$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.94 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,499$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.59 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…4d3ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 25c | 1,392$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.98 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 12c | 1,367$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…285dbacked No | 20c | 1,349$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 22c | 1,344$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.96 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 74c | 1,343$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…d7c8backed Yes | 53c | 1,330$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 11c | 1,200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…cf21backed Yes | 80c | 1,148$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…c0f4backed Yes | 73c | 1,100$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 80c | 1,094$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.15 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 19c | 1,085$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.74 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…4309backed Yes | 21c | 1,041$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +210%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 69c | 1,025$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.81 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…4386backed No | 24c | 1,000$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?Yes won
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.