TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa326…4556

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2572%18 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$87
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$541.67
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,548Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.4%+$2,072.59
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$315.84
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$550
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$2,600
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,006Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+55.4%+$1,110.66
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+61.3%+$612.9
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+71.3%+$763.33
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$1,440
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$531.65
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$1,379.03
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$650
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$626.69
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$612.68
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,476
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$750
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$295
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$62
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+68.4%+$166.99
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-78.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.8wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$368
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$6,000
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,034Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$1,066
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$129.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$155
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.