Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd62a43379a790c695d40bb724c669a87c237aaf7799907d00e14fe7badb573cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,166,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,249,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,166,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 32c | 809,041$255,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255,881.99 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 68c | 171,509$117,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,054.51 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 68c | 159,743$108,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,117.66 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 69c | 110,000$75,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,101.78 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 68c | 80,250$54,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,680 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 68c | 70,015$47,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,109.73 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 69c | 59,392$40,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,411.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 32c | 32,700$10,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,463.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 32c | 30,875$9,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,843 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 68c | 30,213$20,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,668 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 69c | 27,045$18,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,497.9 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 31c | 26,782$8,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,334.74 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes | 73c | 18,866$13,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,127.71 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 69c | 17,766$12,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,507.57 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 69c | 17,339$11,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.94 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 32c | 14,701$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.22 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 69c | 9,325$6,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.85 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 68c | 8,000$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 69c | 8,000$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 68c | 6,000$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 30c | 5,665$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.52 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 5,644$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.64 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 68c | 5,555$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.6 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 31c | 5,100$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.97 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 70c | 4,294$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.23 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 30c | 4,025$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.59 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 30c | 3,200$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.78 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 69c | 3,195$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.35 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 31c | 3,188$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.28 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 70c | 3,122$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.73 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 68c | 2,865$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.8 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,774$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.87 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…da1abacked Yes | 69c | 2,691$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…bf91backed Yes | 69c | 2,640$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 70c | 2,527$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked No | 5c | 2,328$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 67c | 2,077$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 29c | 2,037$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.73 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Yes | 68c | 2,022$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 68c | 2,017$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.96 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 31c | 1,899$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.6 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 70c | 1,881$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.21 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 68c | 1,870$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.9 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…d2cfbacked Yes | 69c | 1,600$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 69c | 1,594$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.2 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 1,513$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 32c | 1,470$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…59e8backed Yes | 69c | 1,459$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 69c | 1,259$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 68c | 1,185$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…1a59backed Yes | 69c | 1,127$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 69c | 1,104$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.35 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Yes | 69c | 1,047$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 31c | 962.79$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.49 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…5662backed Yes | 70c | 949.81$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 68c | 908.44$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.22 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 31c | 882.94$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 69c | 878.71$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 69c | 801.36$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 72c | 796.87$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…7d36backed Yes | 70c | 780.63$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 31c | 729.76$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.23 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked No | 31c | 719.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 69c | 699$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.69 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 69c | 684.36$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.15 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 70c | 683.63$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.09 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes | 69c | 652.17$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.17 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Yes | 68c | 610.15$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 68c | 589.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.05 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 70c | 578$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…b925backed Yes | 68c | 570.09$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 551.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 70c | 514.29$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 69c | 506.32$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked No | 3c | 499.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 67c | 499.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…7dd0backed No | 33c | 494.09$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 31c | 463.51$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 32c | 441$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 31c | 439.91$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 32c | 431$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?this page
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-17?No won
- Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Atalanta end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.