Champions League · resolved market
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82207d6a1504c5139b5237194cd253f670c6248b5b86a472519ecc371c04d002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 13c | 141,837$18,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,430.24 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 13c | 4,615$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 3,050$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e32…0dccbacked Yes | 1c | 2,601$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 12c | 2,163$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.2 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 13c | 1,908$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 12c | 1,400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.97 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d3aabacked Yes | 13c | 1,148$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.29 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +183.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 12c | 899.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 13c | 850$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 815$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 439.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 13c | 411$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 13c | 324.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 13c | 198$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 6c | 175.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes | 14c | 144.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…e978backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 13c | 99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 291 | 34.4%100 W · 191 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-17?this page
- Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Atalanta end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.