TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x43cb…4bcc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
922
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT29635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 296 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$157.11
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$782.05
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$384.31
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$444.44
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$637.5
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+103%+$103
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+1,023.6%+$364.4
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 296 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT17234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 172 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$569.23
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$160.81
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.57
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$414.29
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,261Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$1,272.69
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.19
Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.84
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$291
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$754.39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$5,913Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$5,912.82
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+97.4%+$2,921.57
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$266.67
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+97.7%+$899.13
Showing 25 of 172 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT12338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$263.51
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$457.83
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$298.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$238.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,932Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,931.89
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,020
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+179.9%+$1,439.38
Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.83
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.73
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.49
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$4,555.56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,439.02
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.73
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.44
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,350.93
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.72
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+500.3%+$2,501.5
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$690.48
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,886.88
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$3,545.49
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,382.3
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$1,504.76
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.88
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$371.43
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$434.92
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.36
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$586.96
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,101
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,415.04
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,001
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+177.8%+$5,333.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+160.7%+$424.24
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$449.4
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+67.9%+$203.6
Will AS Roma vs. Lille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Will Lille win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$114.15
Will Celtic win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$273.54
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$244
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Manchester United vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.85
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,608.72
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,387.86
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-53.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,920.83
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$460
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,420.28
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,894Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,894.41
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.82
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$570.85
Will Trump make English the national language?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$79.7
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$294.02
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$656.52
Will Trump say "Illegal" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+90.1%+$18.02
Will Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+161.1%+$29
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$860
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$221.57
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$920
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Orioles vs. White Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$290
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$900.55
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$276.92
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,953Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+80.3%+$2,370.68
Rangers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+77%+$870
Twins vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State vs. Washingtonbacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Northwestern vs. USCbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Floridabacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Boston College vs. Louisvillebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregonbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Stanford vs. Miamibacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Tulsa vs. Memphisbacked Tulsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Minnesota vs. Ohio Statebacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Old Dominionbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Rhode Island vs. Western Michiganbacked Rhode Island · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$574
New Mexico vs. UCLAbacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+525%+$840
East Carolina vs. NC Statebacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+100%+$50
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$62
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$119
Jets vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+112.8%+$496.03
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$1,438.46
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Lions vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Bears vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Raiders vs. Bengalsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$229.28
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$723.92
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$335
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,235
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,964
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,889Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+137.6%+$3,975.28
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,869.99
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$171.81
Israel military action against Iraq before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$157
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-69.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$250
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,991.73
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,206.97
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,712.19
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+203.1%+$1,300.06
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$778
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$497.2
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$114.13
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$105.68
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+74.9%+$171.02
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.01
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+104.6%+$1,087.52
All 9 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$200
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Texas A&M Aggies (W)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Western Carolina Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Southern Jaguars vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$140
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+150.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,400
Lightning vs. Rangersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$902.83
Flames vs. Islandersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,993Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+97.2%+$1,936.8
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$1,340
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+58.7%+$55.5
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$365.8
All 7 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+126.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+141.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+97.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,344.64
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.3%+$536.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$26.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.