TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,376 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes34c20,792$7,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,746.0499933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No68c16,817$11,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,435.545337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c10,749$5,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,513.164,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No69c6,291$4,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,314.93237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No52c6,240$3,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,260.3783444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes31c4,761$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,285.291770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+55.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No62c2,222$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.893476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaeb…e98ebacked Yes30c2,055$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.22540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c1,757$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.323,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda33…daccbacked No57c1,750$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5dd…4e1fbacked No70c1,531$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No69c1,374$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.212546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No51c1,142$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.7240239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No69c908.29$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.723053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes40c875$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52520843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No37c830.47$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.5215051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No58c654.42$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.971,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes31c600$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41414244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes72c600$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1662470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No59c567.7$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.262853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No6c512.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1123232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c510.23$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.0664457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Yes39c470$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes38c450$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2797447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No20c407.53$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.51333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes39c401.3$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3357139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c387.03$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.0544039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes51c375$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.634738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No41c368.51$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7716838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c338.91$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.081,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5812338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No70c294.04$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.49956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Yes31c255$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.951241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes36c204.78$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.521,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes37c189.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1913426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No44c181.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1258548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c163.64$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes80c162.38$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8821950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes31c151.61$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.611250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0939…39cfbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked No25c134.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.861827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-58.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1815660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d60…8cc1backed Yes31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.031145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4771backed No38c124.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.49540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d12…ccc3backed No57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No42c121.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8444424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked No40c119.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes40c105.61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.612147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48f5…698cbacked Yes36c105.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x929d…7ee3backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed Yes31c96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.241346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…1eebbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No59c84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4213642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No69c84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.967238.9%28 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No76c84$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1215540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes43c76.31$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4227758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No40c73.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4317842.1%75 W · 103 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No49c68.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.767842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes31c67.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6419632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed No41c66.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.661936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Yes33c66.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.861662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bca…486dbacked Yes50c66.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.291060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.521250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes31c62.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3833544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes22c56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.681442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+65.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes30c54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes47c53.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.474965.3%32 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes48c52.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8633734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ea…487abacked Yes31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+221.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7de…2b59backed No30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No70c48.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.011225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes43c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.048055%44 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7249…f5dabacked Yes41c42.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8215344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No69c40.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.024663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes50c39.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.622557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes43c37.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.183063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x00d8…ac51backed Yes63c36.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c35.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x457e…c5b1backed No70c33.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No41c33.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5763553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.259357%53 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765b…5043backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes53c26.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.592250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No69c24.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked No69c24.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.651338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d50…7e67backed Yes65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked No68c22.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.281450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No69c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4910347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91070%7 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bde…ecbabacked Yes63c17.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.585100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No68c15.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.635152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No72c15.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.255646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.