TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c0b…4771

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$14.27
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$14.51
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.7
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+184.8%+$53.03
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.42
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$39.65
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$137.24
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.71
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.31
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-48.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$73.46
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.01
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.12
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.03
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.93
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+128.2%+$62.59
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-72%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$62.77
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$42.93
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$88.07
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)backed NEOM SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Hilal Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SEA vs. TEN: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+149.8%+$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.