TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under71c8,042$5,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,739.152,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c4,278$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.032,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over22c3,413$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.695,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under1c3,193$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.932060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a75…258abacked Under25c2,429$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Under4c1,600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over69c1,590$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.2415772%113 W · 44 L+33.9wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+63.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over52c1,451$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.71650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb89…82aabacked Over60c1,445$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.381163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over73c1,377$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.2421574.4%160 W · 55 L+45.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under67c1,370$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.474163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over72c1,369$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.046692.4%61 W · 5 L+17.8wins+0.27per pick65cpaid+44.5%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over62c1,345$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.369145.1%41 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over18c1,312$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.9789245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over78c1,164$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7619965.3%130 W · 69 L+27.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7a42…984abacked Under30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over49c998.54$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.642,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under59c974.24$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.781,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over35c830.09$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.561,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under65c816.28$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.581,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over28c728$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.164663%29 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+49.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under37c719.69$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+111.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8366…54ffbacked Over33c623.21$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.81742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Under5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked Under16c527.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+141.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under23c482.82$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.141520%3 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-69.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e24…dbd6backed Over35c434.09$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+73.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under32c405.97$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.183818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+106%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over27c396$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.0627037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under65c377.12$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2461,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over65c357.13$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.621,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under62c331$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0324548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under65c310.71$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under13c309.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.256442.2%27 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e49…5166backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.699100%9 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under67c301.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.993369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under25c299.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under70c287.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Over75c285.06$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.264755.3%26 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+40.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over62c248.06$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1421652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under26c239.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.994528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over33c229.16$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.541,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Under5c221.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef54…1444backed Under68c218.51$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.924042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over67c157$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8126348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under48c146.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.463959%23 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Over33c139.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under24c137.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over52c122.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.811070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6c4…1b3cbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Over40c95.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3410949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over30c94.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5577056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over74c83.97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6510156.4%57 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over31c83.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5119751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under70c81.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4315160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.12975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over16c74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1344152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under66c72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.521,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over33c63.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4874739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4771backed Over34c61.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under59c59.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.845740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over58c55.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1556445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Under59c50.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.92045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under65c49.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4940550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Over49c45.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over32c43.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.751291.7%11 W · 1 L+5.4wins+0.45per pick47cpaid+101.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc0d9…a661backed Under67c41.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c86…a7a3backed Under74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under66c39.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7512242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe748…c645backed Under54c35.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e6b…3a4cbacked Over76c34.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over36c33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2818161.9%112 W · 69 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Under49c32.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.112347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under58c31.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.37886.8%6 W · 82 L-22.0wins-0.25per pick32cpaid-78%equal weight28-0.19 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Under69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.552441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1518646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd1…a23ebacked Under69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c2…b0c4backed Under64c25.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under70c25.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.551275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1037559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5577…7d35backed Under69c17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb763…4a90backed Over65c16.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under68c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.219354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.