TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb89…82aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$575.38
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.38
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+188.1%+$37.7
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$129.51
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.59
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$100
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.98
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$169.43
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$6.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+173.2%+$1,189.07
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$63.78
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+86%+$1,513.73
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.81
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.08
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.36
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+339.1%+$1,558.28
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.04
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$120.63
Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.99
Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.92
CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$179.65
EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.79
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.91
Santos FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.01
Santos FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.08
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,856Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$898.91
CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$39.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+96.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+90%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$494.35
HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+191.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+191.4%+$174.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.