Europa Conference League · resolved market
HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f6df43be3db125c6a97edce6fd9733af70e1c2cbc304f85b881c742e9712a25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a22…7b00backed Over | 77c | 8,138$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 4,536$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.28 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 1c | 2,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 1,636$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.97 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 3c | 1,037$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 15c | 941.17$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 25c | 605.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.23 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 14c | 519.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Under | 3c | 466.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 15c | 346.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 9c | 334.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 15c | 192$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 31c | 175.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 33c | 146.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Over | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 63.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 29c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 72c | 59.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 75c | 58.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…384fbacked Under | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 45cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…82aabacked Over | 69c | 41.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c5cbbacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 0.5this page
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: HNK Hajduk Split O/U 1.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)HNK Hajduk Split won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)HNK Hajduk Split won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.