Europa Conference League · resolved market
HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb560a07df7c13ede1fdd89b0df6b34d741e9ede4dec8450d6404105c3aa4e064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 51c | 3,423$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 2,644$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.76 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 2,601$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.28 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 50c | 2,597$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.01 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 2,240$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.72 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 77c | 1,950$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.38 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 76c | 1,321$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 37c | 799.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 51c | 775.35$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.76 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 663.47$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.74 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 50c | 645.12$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.56 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 602.02$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.03 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 509.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.09 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…de77backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 25c | 435.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 61c | 397.58$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 39c | 356$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…08edbacked No | 49c | 249.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 13c | 246.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 30c | 241.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 50c | 145.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 123.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 118.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 50c | 92.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 51c | 89.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 56.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 50c | 42.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 36c | 38.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 66c | 36.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 59c | 26.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 76c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: HNK Hajduk Split O/U 1.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)HNK Hajduk Split won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)HNK Hajduk Split won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.