Europa Conference League · resolved market
HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa68a4987c67d7960ed9c98fb7a4682c323f0fd24e4ee22157f6ac4d09818c31a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Under | 70c | 6,702$4,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 2c | 4,060$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 3,945$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.75 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 3,720$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.88 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 44c | 2,868$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 56c | 1,769$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.59 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed Under | 75c | 1,621$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 30c | 1,448$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.85 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 80c | 1,214$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.72 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 79c | 1,133$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.97 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 66c | 924.42$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.86 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 66c | 863.19$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.27 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 80c | 832.3$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 24c | 828.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.47 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 67c | 758.98$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.34 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Over | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 43c | 634.14$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.59 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 449.91$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.82 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 437.8$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.06 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 313.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.73 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 43c | 307.74$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 71c | 281.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 57c | 235.77$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 57c | 206.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 14c | 204.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 74c | 202.29$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 13c | 190.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 69c | 186.93$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 52c | 140.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 66c | 129.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 43c | 79.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Over | 24c | 56.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 46c | 51.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 63c | 32.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 38c | 29.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 70c | 26.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 72c | 25.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Under | 58c | 21.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 57c | 18.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 80c | 13.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.65 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5this page
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: HNK Hajduk Split O/U 1.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)HNK Hajduk Split won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)HNK Hajduk Split won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.