TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87fe…03ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6858.8%40 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.75
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$12.75
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$52.62
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.75
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.6
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$40.2
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$36.9
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$44.1
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$10.4
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$20.19
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$9.75
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.13
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.02
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.21
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$59.31
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)backed BK Hacken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)backed Vasteraas SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Brøndby IF vs. Viborg FF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Spread: AIK (-1.5)backed Orgryte IS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
IF Brommapojkarna vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$14.8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Spread: CF América (-1.5)backed Atlante FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)backed FC Hradec Králové · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.