NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07ac20a236c76c5d849be442162c57fc5201df6dbda8046d5d917d28c622888a

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Pistons, Heat
Resolved: Mar 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,482,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,482,533 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,852 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat	48c	784,190$377,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406,977.32	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6a…5b18backed Pistons	51c	392,060$199,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199,950.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Heat	46c	235,221$109,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126,019.52	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Pistons	52c	217,215$112,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112,480.2	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Heat	49c	200,000$98,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101,999.96	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Pistons	54c	165,000$88,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88,552.46	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons	53c	119,650$62,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,824.46	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons	53c	77,724$40,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,894.89	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pistons	53c	58,255$30,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,875.15	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons	51c	51,174$26,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,119.8	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Heat	50c	50,055$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,055.36	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pistons	51c	44,075$22,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,478.49	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Heat	48c	42,565$20,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,963.6	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Heat	59c	42,205$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,205.34	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-5.0wins	-0.20per pick	52cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Pistons	52c	38,639$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Pistons	54c	34,833$18,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,651.95	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons	14c	32,661$4,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,655.59	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pistons	52c	31,998$16,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,728.77	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6b…a33dbacked Pistons	0c	30,000$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.3	109	14.7%16 W · 93 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Heat	49c	30,000$14,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,300.27	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons	53c	29,875$15,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,957.35	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons	28c	26,959$7,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,636.4	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Pistons	51c	26,503$13,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,535	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b1b…afcfbacked Pistons	0c	26,501$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Pistons	53c	25,844$13,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,697.04	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	48c	23,394$11,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,198.83	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Pistons	19c	22,339$4,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,312.32	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Pistons	53c	21,582$11,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,438.46	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5744…7e78backed Heat	50c	20,462$10,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,230.88	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Pistons	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,200	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Heat	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,400.29	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pistons	52c	19,914$10,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,355.02	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons	51c	19,088$9,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,702.86	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pistons	52c	18,053$9,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,433.54	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Pistons	13c	17,483$2,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,187.57	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pistons	51c	15,810$8,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,062.85	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons	53c	15,505$8,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,244.07	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Pistons	0c	15,041$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.02	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Pistons	54c	15,010$8,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,105.3	374	48.7%182 W · 192 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons	53c	15,000$7,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,950	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons	13c	15,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,959.99	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Heat	56c	12,399$6,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,402.64	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Pistons	2c	11,632$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	268	24.6%66 W · 202 L	-14.9wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Pistons	50c	10,487$5,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,243.35	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Pistons	52c	10,001$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Pistons	10c	10,000$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.3	214	40.7%87 W · 127 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Heat	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,199.97	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Pistons	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,199.86	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Heat	46c	9,779$4,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,282.31	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Pistons	53c	9,434$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Pistons	54c	9,331$5,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,038.85	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons	13c	8,893$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.39	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pistons	10c	8,796$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.51	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Heat	48c	8,760$4,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,530.33	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pistons	52c	8,650$4,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,498	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Pistons	41c	8,500$3,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,503.03	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Pistons	52c	8,488$4,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,398.64	203	55.2%112 W · 91 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c53…0d37backed Pistons	45c	8,202$3,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,667.81	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Heat	49c	8,000$3,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,080	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Pistons	0c	8,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Heat	49c	8,000$3,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,059.99	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7723…abedbacked Pistons	41c	7,945$3,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,249	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked Pistons	51c	7,843$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,999.98	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.15per pick	39cpaid	+81.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Pistons	51c	7,395$3,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,795.79	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…f88ebacked Heat	58c	7,366$4,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,093.81	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab7…24ecbacked Heat	76c	7,306$5,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,758.26	160	65%104 W · 56 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons	30c	7,189$2,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,132.51	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Heat	50c	7,117$3,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,581.09	297	48.1%143 W · 154 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Heat	46c	7,000$3,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,780	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Heat	49c	7,000$3,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,570.03	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1b…e748backed Heat	48c	7,000$3,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,639.99	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons	52c	6,974$3,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,618.6	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Pistons	52c	6,500$3,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,380	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Heat	48c	6,500$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,379.99	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons	57c	6,496$3,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,680.11	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pistons	0c	6,482$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Pistons	52c	6,010$3,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,125	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Heat	48c	6,000$2,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,120	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pistons	0c	5,909$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db0…64ebbacked Pistons	0c	5,814$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Pistons	38c	5,738$2,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,195.8	301	57.1%172 W · 129 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Pistons	51c	5,708$2,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,911	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Heat	38c	5,587$2,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,488.47	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Heat	47c	5,403$2,539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,863.37	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons	3c	5,366$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.99	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Pistons	52c	5,326$2,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,783.21	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Pistons	54c	5,205$2,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,810.7	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b8a…5240backed Heat	48c	5,200$2,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,703.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Heat	49c	5,102$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,602.07	95	31.6%30 W · 65 L	-11.6wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Pistons	12c	5,100$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Pistons	40c	5,008$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Heat	80c	5,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	147	66%97 W · 50 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Pistons	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	259	47.5%123 W · 136 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Heat	47c	5,000$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,650.07	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x803e…2059backed Pistons	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,599.79	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Pistons	52c	4,845$2,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,525.23	527	60%316 W · 211 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c9d…a903backed Heat	48c	4,820$2,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,506.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Pistons	52c	4,500$2,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,336.79	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Pistons	26c	4,496$1,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,166	220	36.8%81 W · 139 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat	67c	4,478$2,991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.09	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pistons vs. Heatthis page
1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Heat won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 11.5No won
Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Pistons vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Pistons vs. Heat: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 220.5Over won
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 221.5Over won
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 222.5Over won
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Over won
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Over won
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Over won
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Over won
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Under won
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Under won
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-7.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Heat won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Heat won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pistons vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event