NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0f8525434af4f7aecb650d5dd93b844d73b833221a84c060c5726f743c25c6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,447 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 2,688$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 2,497$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.32 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 1,266$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.82 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 1,066$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 622$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 507.5$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 442.03$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 54c | 422.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 75c | 309.61$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 51c | 308.69$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 264.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 213.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 47c | 188.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 181.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Under | 50c | 119.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 103.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 83.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 78.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 67.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…76a9backed Over | 53c | 65.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 48c | 62.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 62.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 53.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…c55abacked Over | 54c | 46.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 50c | 45.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…7680backed Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…c77bbacked Under | 58c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 49c | 32.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 31.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32b…735cbacked Over | 54c | 26.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Under | 42c | 26.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 49c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 22.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -14.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6a…d38abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 60c | 16.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Heat won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. HeatHeat won
- Pistons vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Pistons vs. Heat: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.