TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e6a…d38a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.37
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$71.27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$7.27
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.93
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$12.15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.91
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.97
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+399.5%+$119.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+641.8%+$128.35
Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$10
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$9.68
Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribebacked William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+42.5%+$7.3
California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchosbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Texas A&M Aggies vs. LSU Tigersbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.86
Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+137.4%+$16.29
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.42
New Mexico Lobos vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.7%+$5.26
San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.84
Kennesaw State Owls vs. UTEP Minersbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
Grambling State Tigers vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+171.1%+$26.28
Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.53
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. UT Martin Skyhawksbacked UT Martin Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29%+$5.76
Tulane Green Wave vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+45.7%+$8.97
American Eagles vs. Boston Terriersbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Iona Gaelsbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+166.7%+$33.07
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Red Wings vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$11.51
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+198.9%+$37.68
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.17
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Islanders vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Bruins vs. Predatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+68.4%+$9.76
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
BNP Paribas Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Hersonissos: Harry Wendelken vs Toby Samuelbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
BNP Paribas Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Andrey Rublev vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+144.5%+$20.45
BNP Paribas Open: Anna Blinkova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37.2%+$4.72
Antalya 2: Anhelina Kalinina vs Panna Udvardybacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.4%+$3.14
BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Thionville: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.1%+$4.68
Hersonissos: Lorenzo Giustino vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+72.6%+$9.29
Antalya 2: Despina Papamichail vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Despina Papamichail · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-74.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olimpia Milano vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.45
Valencia vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+37.5%+$3.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$54.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+303.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+303.6%+$116.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cody Durden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.