TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Grambling State Tigers vs. Alabama State Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grambling State Tigersof Grambling State Tigers, Alabama State Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,104 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Grambling State Tigers77c20,448$15,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,662.936245.2%28 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Alabama State Hornets31c11,999$3,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,775.441,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Alabama State Hornets56c6,364$3,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,582.981,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grambling State Tigers44c3,466$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.922,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama State Hornets61c3,163$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.323,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alabama State Hornets23c2,974$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.625,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Alabama State Hornets32c2,376$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.562,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Alabama State Hornets55c1,984$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.12,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Grambling State Tigers29c1,899$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.071,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Alabama State Hornets23c1,695$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.0525337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Alabama State Hornets25c1,692$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.652433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Grambling State Tigers44c1,473$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.781,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Alabama State Hornets57c1,361$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.791,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Grambling State Tigers78c1,275$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9910736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Grambling State Tigers44c1,122$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.744,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Grambling State Tigers43c1,065$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.2129845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Grambling State Tigers74c815.06$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9246446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Grambling State Tigers43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+56.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Grambling State Tigers44c775.26$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.1474649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Alabama State Hornets55c686.51$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.7174152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Grambling State Tigers44c675.93$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5234746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Grambling State Tigers43c625.8$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7162140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Alabama State Hornets55c613.12$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.222,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Grambling State Tigers57c563.77$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.5613141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Grambling State Tigers42c545.21$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5421549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Grambling State Tigers70c500.29$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.842,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alabama State Hornets26c440.39$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.582,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Alabama State Hornets41c412.81$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.191,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Alabama State Hornets60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24055532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Grambling State Tigers43c349.82$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.426749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Alabama State Hornets64c346.75$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.343,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Alabama State Hornets54c336.15$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.283,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Grambling State Tigers44c332.51$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Grambling State Tigers45c330.45$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.751,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Grambling State Tigers45c330.12$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0425837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Grambling State Tigers42c329.53$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6815559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Grambling State Tigers64c297.57$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Grambling State Tigers44c289.61$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.041,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Grambling State Tigers46c269.44$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.51,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Alabama State Hornets63c242.31$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Grambling State Tigers49c227.57$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Alabama State Hornets40c225.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9993247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Grambling State Tigers45c220.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1683350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Grambling State Tigers46c219.47$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5212147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Alabama State Hornets47c219.13$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4849747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Grambling State Tigers41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Grambling State Tigers42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1162,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Alabama State Hornets57c199.16$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5549157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Grambling State Tigers43c155.94$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.211,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Alabama State Hornets58c137.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0250745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Alabama State Hornets40c134.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.291,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Alabama State Hornets29c119.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7513956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Grambling State Tigers42c117.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.433850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Grambling State Tigers60c115.26$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8422640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Grambling State Tigers74c111.25$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.921,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe516…14ffbacked Grambling State Tigers45c106.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.27837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alabama State Hornets52c83.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.214,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Alabama State Hornets57c80.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8421937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Alabama State Hornets54c80.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6543053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Grambling State Tigers33c80.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Grambling State Tigers44c75.81$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.459747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Grambling State Tigers43c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.116755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Alabama State Hornets66c69.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3327055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Grambling State Tigers80c66.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.35438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alabama State Hornets39c65.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.561,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Grambling State Tigers22c60.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9816243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Alabama State Hornets65c58.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.812,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Alabama State Hornets58c57.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5114244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alabama State Hornets54c57.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Alabama State Hornets30c57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2484854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f4…5a58backed Alabama State Hornets28c56.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Grambling State Tigers44c56.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5413450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Grambling State Tigers42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9233445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Grambling State Tigers46c49.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.778834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff73…35ccbacked Grambling State Tigers40c44.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.995650%28 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Alabama State Hornets59c41.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7916746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6a…d38abacked Grambling State Tigers37c41.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.281747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Alabama State Hornets64c39.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.411,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Alabama State Hornets42c38.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0614450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Grambling State Tigers45c36.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3511840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Grambling State Tigers43c33.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1916140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Alabama State Hornets55c31.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5492246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Grambling State Tigers70c31.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5257655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Grambling State Tigers43c27.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Grambling State Tigers44c27.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5322950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffde…34b8backed Grambling State Tigers44c24.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd29a…d236backed Alabama State Hornets58c23.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.881442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Grambling State Tigers42c23.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8182846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Alabama State Hornets57c23.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5420834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Alabama State Hornets55c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7215066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2dd6backed Alabama State Hornets57c22.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.823455.9%19 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Alabama State Hornets52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161f…d3f4backed Alabama State Hornets58c19.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x064e…8fc5backed Alabama State Hornets56c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.