TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Iowa Hawkeyes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,052 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Michigan Wolverines76c13,878$10,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.486245.2%28 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Iowa Hawkeyes16c10,746$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.071,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca8…ee6bbacked Michigan Wolverines79c5,000$3,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.93560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc2…eaefbacked Iowa Hawkeyes18c3,656$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Iowa Hawkeyes21c3,551$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.1646446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Iowa Hawkeyes19c3,526$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.622,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Iowa Hawkeyes20c3,518$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.5334943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes19c3,029$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.6949345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Iowa Hawkeyes22c2,730$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.71,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Michigan Wolverines76c2,506$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.852,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes20c2,505$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.7212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes18c2,500$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44755532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c2,342$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.3417742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes21c2,222$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.622,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Iowa Hawkeyes21c2,116$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.3225130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Iowa Hawkeyes20c1,906$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.993,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Iowa Hawkeyes30c1,874$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.021,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x703d…69fdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes32c1,007$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.781770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b00…03a9backed Iowa Hawkeyes21c946.85$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.844025%10 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Iowa Hawkeyes9c918.67$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.732,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Iowa Hawkeyes28c870.05$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.962140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Iowa Hawkeyes20c789.6$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0814325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes19c719.13$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.631,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c684.03$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.981528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c651.27$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.63,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Iowa Hawkeyes9c650$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.052,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes20c636.5$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.337441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Michigan Wolverines78c625.7$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6521149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Michigan Wolverines80c621.5$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3887.5%7 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick77cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Iowa Hawkeyes20c512.58$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.521,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Iowa Hawkeyes19c498.46$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4940755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes6c495.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.631,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes18c467.37$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4593941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Iowa Hawkeyes22c409.66$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.536535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Iowa Hawkeyes18c399.66$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9414244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Iowa Hawkeyes11c393.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8131646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Iowa Hawkeyes22c331.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9324737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Michigan Wolverines80c322.74$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5520548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes18c319.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5238837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes19c304.93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.232,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Iowa Hawkeyes9c302.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.721,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81e4…648fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes22c297.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.461936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Michigan Wolverines68c292.06$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.966446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Iowa Hawkeyes22c276.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9482846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Iowa Hawkeyes20c276.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.575,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Michigan Wolverines74c268.29$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Iowa Hawkeyes11c241$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0814450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Iowa Hawkeyes18c240.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3125544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa Hawkeyes23c240.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.111,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Iowa Hawkeyes22c225.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.75540%22 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes19c221.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Michigan Wolverines69c220.95$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8113342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Iowa Hawkeyes18c214.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.528855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Iowa Hawkeyes19c206.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.320834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Iowa Hawkeyes22c205.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1212141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Iowa Hawkeyes18c204.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.814242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Iowa Hawkeyes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Iowa Hawkeyes18c199.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9449157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Iowa Hawkeyes18c199.12$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.841,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Iowa Hawkeyes15c199.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.871421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes18c190.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2317241.3%71 W · 101 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Iowa Hawkeyes20c188.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.471,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe96b…eb54backed Iowa Hawkeyes32c187.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Iowa Hawkeyes22c182.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2612649.2%62 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Iowa Hawkeyes9c161.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84140%0 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Iowa Hawkeyes30c161$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1813845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6114…69dbbacked Iowa Hawkeyes33c150.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Iowa Hawkeyes22c146.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Michigan Wolverines66c141.76$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.29051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Iowa Hawkeyes22c141.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5561446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe300…8b9ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes32c132.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.863938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Iowa Hawkeyes22c128.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8527055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes19c128.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.874748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Iowa Hawkeyes18c121.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.856740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c110.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7915559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes21c110.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.326253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes18c104.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9817945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Michigan Wolverines78c100.67$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.151888.9%16 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes18c99.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Michigan Wolverines79c99.41$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.373542.9%15 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Iowa Hawkeyes23c99.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8616721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ec…c21ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes23c99.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.863243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Michigan Wolverines77c97.7$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.061861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f3…c5c2backed Michigan Wolverines80c95.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27176.1%54 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6b…ab0dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes21c92.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c92.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Iowa Hawkeyes19c91.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2330945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Michigan Wolverines75c89.23$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3116243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Michigan Wolverines78c76.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.824,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d54…a756backed Michigan Wolverines78c74.55$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.43138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1766…de6ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes18c72.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c70.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.397031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Iowa Hawkeyes21c70.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.685438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6a…d38abacked Iowa Hawkeyes19c70.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.531747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes21c65.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6357335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c63.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.651,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Iowa Hawkeyes18c60.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8525946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Michigan Wolverines79c59.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6343053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c57.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9394036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.