TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x985f…7a5b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT9051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.17
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.62
Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.53
Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.55
Will Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.57
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.91
Will Texas A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.27
Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.95
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.76
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.97
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.73
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$196
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$142.74
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.53
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+810.5%+$1,774.48
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,086Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$422.38
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Will South Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.14
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$214.48
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.74
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.93
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT4560%27 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.55
De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Collin Sexton: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.9
Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$147.5
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.51
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.09
Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$57.61
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+157.2%+$113.22
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$309.38
Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.88
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$337.1
Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+144.7%+$203.62
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$168.98
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$491.49
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$614
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$337.1
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.64
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.98
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$173.68
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$243.57
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$309.38
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Colton Smithbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$34.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.