NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16fde5da59c2d58c193ddcdfcacf9a2d09e6be2b053199156c2958d1eddf2d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Pacers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,892,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,892,596 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 943 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pacers | 27c | 185,185$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,999.93 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks | 73c | 142,083$103,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,625.76 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 73c | 117,845$86,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,639.61 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Bucks | 73c | 95,155$69,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,948.83 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pacers | 26c | 94,498$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers | 25c | 80,000$20,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,264.83 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Bucks | 73c | 60,720$44,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,304.87 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers | 27c | 48,339$13,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,158.42 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 75c | 47,850$35,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,905.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Pacers | 28c | 44,826$12,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,360.51 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers | 0c | 38,802$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 73c | 37,302$27,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,134.1 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Pacers | 27c | 37,040$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.8 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Bucks | 74c | 25,350$18,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,591 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 73c | 24,907$18,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,724.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Pacers | 26c | 23,852$6,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,201.62 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Pacers | 25c | 22,576$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660.14 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers | 29c | 22,013$6,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,293.49 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Bucks | 73c | 21,856$15,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,901.07 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Pacers | 26c | 17,776$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.54 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers | 30c | 17,772$5,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,348.68 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Bucks | 75c | 17,000$12,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Bucks | 59c | 16,851$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,851.12 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Bucks | 72c | 15,444$11,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.11 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Pacers | 12c | 15,000$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.1 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Bucks | 73c | 14,091$10,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.46 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 70c | 13,367$9,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Bucks | 73c | 13,322$9,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.98 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ab…506dbacked Bucks | 73c | 11,600$8,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e17dbacked Pacers | 27c | 11,600$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.95 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Pacers | 31c | 10,810$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.77 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 71c | 10,627$7,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.95 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Bucks | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Pacers | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks | 57c | 9,806$5,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.54 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 74c | 9,724$7,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.62 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pacers | 30c | 9,401$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.37 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…cbe4backed Pacers | 2c | 9,346$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 74c | 9,265$6,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.28 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 73c | 9,034$6,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 25c | 9,018$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Pacers | 41c | 8,500$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.99 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pacers | 30c | 8,213$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Bucks | 73c | 7,500$5,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…f355backed Pacers | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.97 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Bucks | 71c | 7,455$5,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.91 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Pacers | 29c | 7,050$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.66 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pacers | 7c | 6,445$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.64 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks | 74c | 6,371$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.59 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Pacers | 27c | 6,200$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.98 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3048…b8eabacked Pacers | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 75c | 5,294$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.25 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Bucks | 74c | 5,188$3,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.88 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bucks | 66c | 5,027$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.61 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pacers | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…8137backed Pacers | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Pacers | 38c | 4,817$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.56 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c8…35f8backed Bucks | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6b24backed Pacers | 29c | 4,500$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bucks | 70c | 4,477$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.51 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Pacers | 28c | 4,419$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.42 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pacers | 40c | 4,415$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.57 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Bucks | 73c | 4,300$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.87 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers | 41c | 4,299$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.41 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 28c | 4,289$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.57 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Bucks | 76c | 4,200$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Pacers | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 75c | 3,922$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.56 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…cac8backed Pacers | 27c | 3,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pacers | 38c | 3,732$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.98 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Pacers | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Bucks | 77c | 3,500$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.99 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bucks | 74c | 3,378$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.38 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bucks | 66c | 3,311$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.94 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…a9afbacked Bucks | 73c | 3,300$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Bucks | 74c | 3,267$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.96 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Bucks | 73c | 3,233$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a68…7b56backed Bucks | 73c | 3,217$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.63 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…b126backed Pacers | 32c | 3,150$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pacers | 21c | 3,051$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.72 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bucks | 68c | 3,044$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.15 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Pacers | 27c | 3,020$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.2 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Bucks | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Bucks | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…aacfbacked Bucks | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Bucks | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Bucks | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers | 28c | 3,000$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…b386backed Pacers | 25c | 2,986$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Bucks | 73c | 2,885$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers | 29c | 2,817$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.11 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c2…f205backed Bucks | 71c | 2,740$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…9e81backed Bucks | 73c | 2,700$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Pacers | 27c | 2,697$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.15 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc56…fb8cbacked Pacers | 27c | 2,600$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…8e87backed Bucks | 73c | 2,600$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pacers | 26c | 2,533$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 367 | 18.5%68 W · 299 L | -36.8wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Bucksthis page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Pacers won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 246.5Over won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-8.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.