TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,942 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Over49c23,562$11,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,016.630845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under51c14,004$7,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,142.0434851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under52c14,003$7,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,254.952,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c5,195$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.131,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c4,020$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c3,986$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.724,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c3,402$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.924,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over49c2,969$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.7924744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under52c2,915$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.966756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c2,523$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.044,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd772…3b72backed Under54c2,366$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b1…2e09backed Over46c2,225$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc303…30fdbacked Under54c2,158$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb099…ac18backed Over46c2,105$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9cc…f589backed Under54c1,899$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0626637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c1,800$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd31…b6e5backed Over46c1,688$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Over49c1,665$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.312937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe546…5e9ebacked Over46c1,622$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c1,442$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.563,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cb6…c441backed Under54c1,360$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5108143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7831…c197backed Over49c755.1$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.54per pick29cpaid+256.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under53c680$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.461747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c677.29$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.133,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under53c566.42$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b5…ae57backed Over50c565.22$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.226946.4%32 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over50c503.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.9411158.6%65 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c475.37$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.372,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4045…3307backed Over49c442.35$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.831464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c362$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over54c317.88$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.53,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over48c312.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.589524.2%23 W · 72 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over46c304.35$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3552146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over65c273.47$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4475…5a6cbacked Over46c233$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3943447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c216.92$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.82,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over48c194.96$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3837842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac8f…e081backed Over46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over49c159.51$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.353,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf4…fd51backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over56c137.98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.211,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under50c124.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1820350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c120.32$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.322,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.262541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c112.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.621,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under52c104$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0846447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c101.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.682,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519255.4%51 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160a…2be2backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under51c95.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under42c87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2516141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under43c82.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.351438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over48c77.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under52c76.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.874942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0910943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under51c72.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over48c64.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5621443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under51c58.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Over50c55.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5434248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb79e…56d0backed Under52c54.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under23c53.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.526337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over71c51.93$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0788057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Under51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267744.2%34 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5644…2befbacked Over46c46.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.222245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…ec19backed Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513748.2%66 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under52c40.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.341,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under51c39.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9924150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under52c32.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over57c31.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.382,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over46c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.741,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d2a…7defbacked Over46c30.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.434843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Under51c29.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.044639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over48c26.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6852552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Over48c24.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.579051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x257b…c08bbacked Over46c23.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.914946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over56c21.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.611,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over47c21.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3991746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5342…c7f9backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…e589backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e9…c72abacked Under54c18.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.