NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65c3ff402d81e756af732fd67ea6521b15395206d2d77b8b2b006c212f620981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,157,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,157,627 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pacers | 46c | 328,139$150,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,943.92 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 45c | 248,004$111,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,597.93 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bucks | 54c | 150,000$81,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,999.98 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Bucks | 55c | 93,279$51,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,975.55 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks | 54c | 75,402$40,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,684.92 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 54c | 58,277$31,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,663.01 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Bucks | 54c | 48,973$26,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,317.14 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Bucks | 57c | 30,444$17,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,101 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 55c | 29,516$16,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,267.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Bucks | 54c | 28,985$15,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,333.09 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks | 55c | 26,865$14,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,107.04 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pacers | 46c | 20,907$9,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,617.32 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Bucks | 55c | 19,691$10,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,860.97 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Bucks | 55c | 17,559$9,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,901.49 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 55c | 16,796$9,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pacers | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.97 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Bucks | 55c | 8,512$4,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,842.03 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 49c | 6,583$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks | 54c | 6,049$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.54 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers | 42c | 5,382$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.44 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Bucks | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Bucks | 54c | 3,746$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.29 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Bucks | 54c | 3,538$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.1 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Bucks | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.89 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 54c | 2,777$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 55c | 2,647$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.39 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pacers | 65c | 2,510$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.33 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Bucks | 35c | 2,290$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.5 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Bucks | 55c | 2,250$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.37 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Pacers | 43c | 2,076$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.43 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Pacers | 45c | 2,029$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.03 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Bucks | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 55c | 1,401$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Pacers | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Pacers | 32c | 1,096$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.4 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Bucks | 54c | 1,095$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Pacers | 46c | 1,082$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.39 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 40c | 1,037$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Pacers | 46c | 1,033$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.17 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bucks | 54c | 1,000$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Bucks | 54c | 947.8$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.99 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bucks | 59c | 889.42$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.06 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 54c | 836.44$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.76 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Bucks | 54c | 769$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.74 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Bucks | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 56c | 701.85$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Pacers | 42c | 680.26$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Pacers | 47c | 638.74$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.12 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pacers | 49c | 612.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Pacers | 43c | 492.27$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.48 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Bucks | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Bucks | 54c | 449.96$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.98 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Bucks | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Pacers | 47c | 418.14$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.53 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Bucks | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bucks | 52c | 385.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.75 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Pacers | 47c | 380.13$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.66 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bucks | 55c | 377.36$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.81 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bucks | 44c | 365.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Pacers | 46c | 365$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Pacers | 45c | 318.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Bucks | 55c | 318.78$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.78 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Pacers | 58c | 309.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Bucks | 55c | 302.18$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers | 59c | 275.83$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Bucks | 55c | 273.45$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Bucks | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Bucks | 54c | 268.56$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pacers | 47c | 266.82$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Bucks | 55c | 259.55$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 150 | 31.3%47 W · 103 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks | 57c | 259.13$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Bucks | 56c | 258.77$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bucks | 54c | 249.79$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Bucks | 53c | 233.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Pacers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers | 53c | 208.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Bucks | 57c | 206.21$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Bucks | 54c | 205$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Pacers | 47c | 204.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…23a5backed Bucks | 54c | 201.82$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Bucks | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bucks | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…f80dbacked Pacers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Bucks | 53c | 195.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Pacers | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 54c | 194.86$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Bucks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Bucks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Bucks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Pacers | 46c | 180.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d4…a401backed Bucks | 48c | 178.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Bucks | 55c | 177.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 57c | 177.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…df73backed Bucks | 55c | 177.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Bucks | 53c | 176.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Bucks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Bucks | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Bucks | 55c | 172.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Pacers won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. BucksBucks won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 246.5Over won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-8.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.