TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,290 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes40c221.71$89 inLost-$88.6893145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No64c209.81$134 inWon+$75.861,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No60c183.34$110 inWon+$73.3497049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d75…ab74backed Yes39c113.93$44 inLost-$44.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+63%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No56c113.64$64 inWon+$5021443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked Yes44c113.64$50 inLost-$504431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Yes40c62.5$25 inLost-$259031.1%28 W · 62 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No60c56$34 inWon+$22.495260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes30c50$15 inLost-$153,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No64c33.8$21 inWon+$12.3192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked No64c30$19 inWon+$10.7112949.6%64 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5fc…dbc6backed Yes38c29.33$11 inLost-$112532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4729…8cfdbacked Yes40c25$10 inLost-$105139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed No71c20$14 inWon+$5.830256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.