TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bucks (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Bucks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,043,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,043,880 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers49c320,478$157,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157,127.5787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Pacers50c277,329$138,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138,562.0787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Bucks50c150,000$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Bucks50c124,861$62,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,430.5124650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bucks50c91,274$45,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,636.822,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks50c64,512$32,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,200.881,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks53c47,400$24,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,5121,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers49c33,598$16,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,399.891,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Bucks52c27,549$14,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,191.522453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks51c26,478$13,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,968.834,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Bucks51c18,610$9,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,118.93857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Bucks50c16,667$8,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,333.331,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks50c16,547$8,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,208.192,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks51c16,067$8,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,861.022,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7601,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Bucks52c11,000$5,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,279.9558449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks52c10,583$5,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,058.931,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Bucks52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.385754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pacers49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,919.9943348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers49c7,966$3,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.712,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Bucks52c7,492$3,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,622.8820948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Bucks53c6,900$3,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,242.9914245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks51c5,586$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks51c5,010$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.761,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Bucks50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Pacers52c3,810$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.0926637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks52c3,766$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Bucks50c3,666$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.5713563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bucks54c3,597$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.032,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks52c3,514$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.861,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Bucks50c3,333$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.514753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks50c3,158$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5791,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Pacers50c3,058$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.931,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Bucks50c3,000$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.9938750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks50c2,697$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers45c2,518$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.119645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pacers52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers46c2,411$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.394,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Pacers45c2,380$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Pacers50c2,109$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.5322948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Pacers46c2,059$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94724450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Bucks48c1,691$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.4117349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.812,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers48c1,538$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.083,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Bucks56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6608657%49 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Pacers54c1,481$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80020963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bucks54c1,247$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.162,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bucks50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60071449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks51c1,160$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.974,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Pacers50c1,159$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.1457650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Pacers45c1,063$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.3315147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers44c1,051$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Pacers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pacers52c999.97$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Pacers49c999.97$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9832051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Pacers45c999.31$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.6970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked Bucks55c995.03$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.116944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pacers51c975.32$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.761,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers48c819.36$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Bucks49c772.59$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8726337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Pacers52c769$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8821045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Pacers59c682.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016162.7%101 W · 60 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9c…dbaebacked Bucks51c674.51$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.511833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Bucks51c606$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.945446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Pacers49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29449345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Bucks50c599.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1120846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Bucks51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2428448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Bucks50c588$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2945947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Bucks40c577.88$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.741,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Bucks48c574.95$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5743544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bucks48c572$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.4447856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Pacers46c566.43$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4417850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Pacers62c500$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8114152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Pacers46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Bucks51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.211158.6%65 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Pacers49c489.04$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7234342.9%147 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Bucks47c468.5$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.3116953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Pacers52c463.7$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2351438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Bucks54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.965046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Bucks48c448.44$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.196953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Bucks52c436$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaeb…a226backed Bucks55c415.54$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.261546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pacers45c408.65$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.942,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb1…ada7backed Bucks50c405.24$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3a…715ebacked Bucks50c404.94$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec9…7b9fbacked Pacers51c401.49$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa29c…1e65backed Pacers51c399.49$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Pacers50c396.03$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0292058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Bucks52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers49c384.25$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.562,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Pacers49c369.1$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.461,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Bucks51c348.1$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.118055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Pacers58c342.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011142.3%47 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Bucks36c338.18$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.1816943.8%74 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Bucks51c337.46$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Bucks54c331$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2634851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Pacers70c330.23$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed Pacers59c325.02$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2110243.1%44 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Pacers50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.