NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a4023e888e19ab8d60f7ecad586bd2d616997992b969ea1d3879db248b2a862
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,043,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,043,880 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 49c | 320,478$157,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157,127.57 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pacers | 50c | 277,329$138,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,562.07 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bucks | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bucks | 50c | 124,861$62,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,430.51 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 50c | 91,274$45,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,636.82 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks | 50c | 64,512$32,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,200.88 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks | 53c | 47,400$24,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,512 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers | 49c | 33,598$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,399.89 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Bucks | 52c | 27,549$14,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,191.5 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 51c | 26,478$13,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,968.83 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Bucks | 51c | 18,610$9,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,118.9 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bucks | 50c | 16,667$8,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,333.33 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 50c | 16,547$8,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,208.19 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 51c | 16,067$8,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,861.02 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bucks | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.95 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks | 52c | 10,583$5,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,058.93 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Bucks | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pacers | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers | 49c | 7,966$3,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.71 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Bucks | 52c | 7,492$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.88 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Bucks | 53c | 6,900$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.99 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 51c | 5,586$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 51c | 5,010$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.76 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Bucks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Pacers | 52c | 3,810$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.09 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 52c | 3,766$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Bucks | 50c | 3,666$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.57 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bucks | 54c | 3,597$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.03 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 52c | 3,514$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.86 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Bucks | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks | 50c | 3,158$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pacers | 50c | 3,058$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.93 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Bucks | 50c | 3,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.99 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 50c | 2,697$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers | 45c | 2,518$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.1 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pacers | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 46c | 2,411$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Pacers | 45c | 2,380$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Pacers | 50c | 2,109$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.53 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Pacers | 46c | 2,059$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Bucks | 48c | 1,691$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.41 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.81 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 48c | 1,538$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Bucks | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Pacers | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bucks | 54c | 1,247$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.16 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bucks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 51c | 1,160$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Pacers | 50c | 1,159$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.14 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Pacers | 45c | 1,063$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.33 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 44c | 1,051$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pacers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pacers | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Pacers | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Pacers | 45c | 999.31$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.69 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Bucks | 55c | 995.03$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.11 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pacers | 51c | 975.32$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.76 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 48c | 819.36$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.04 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Bucks | 49c | 772.59$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.87 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Pacers | 52c | 769$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Pacers | 59c | 682.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…dbaebacked Bucks | 51c | 674.51$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Bucks | 51c | 606$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.94 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pacers | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Bucks | 50c | 599.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.11 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Bucks | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Bucks | 50c | 588$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Bucks | 40c | 577.88$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.74 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Bucks | 48c | 574.95$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bucks | 48c | 572$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.44 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Pacers | 46c | 566.43$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.44 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Pacers | 62c | 500$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.81 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Pacers | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Bucks | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Pacers | 49c | 489.04$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Bucks | 47c | 468.5$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.31 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Pacers | 52c | 463.7$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.23 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Bucks | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Bucks | 48c | 448.44$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.19 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Bucks | 52c | 436$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…a226backed Bucks | 55c | 415.54$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pacers | 45c | 408.65$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.94 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb1…ada7backed Bucks | 50c | 405.24$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…715ebacked Bucks | 50c | 404.94$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec9…7b9fbacked Pacers | 51c | 401.49$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…1e65backed Pacers | 51c | 399.49$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Pacers | 50c | 396.03$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.02 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bucks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers | 49c | 384.25$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.56 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Pacers | 49c | 369.1$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Bucks | 51c | 348.1$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Pacers | 58c | 342.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Bucks | 36c | 338.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.18 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Bucks | 51c | 337.46$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.93 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Bucks | 54c | 331$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Pacers | 70c | 330.23$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Pacers | 59c | 325.02$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.21 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Pacers | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Pacers won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. BucksBucks won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 246.5Over won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-8.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.