TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e7c…cbaa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT9238%35 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$191
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,413.78
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,027.36
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,862.03
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,322Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$881.33
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,097Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,226.92
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.94
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,498.04
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winnerbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$313.85
LoL: BRUTE vs DMG Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Abacked BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
LoL: Barça eSports vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winnerbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,001.85
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,501.7
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+114.6%+$1,176.91
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$513.55
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$513.8
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$5,454.23
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT6944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.23
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$509.34
1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110.62
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$261
Spread: Kings (-3.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$998.7
1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.95
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140.49
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$446.11
1H Spread: Bucks (-4.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.07
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$492.81
Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$133.42
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+87%+$640.61
Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$548
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Spread: Celtics (-20.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$588.65
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$558.1
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,108.45
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.57
1H Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Bucks vs. Heat: 1H Moneylinebacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$269
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 4 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$689
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,932.04
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$1,037.41
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$370.16
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$283
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,448Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,438.2
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$472.28
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.91
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+214.9%+$1,674.98
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+185.7%+$926.62
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+135.8%+$543.54
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+145.5%+$372.57
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$212.17
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex - Map 4 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$60.5
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$300.77
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 4 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 3 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$362.73
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$489.31
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+95.9%+$239.81
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$147.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.