Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d42f02170a865ca067b31f12d232cfe0a18b0c5d581abe55f705089b5f5b9c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Fnatic, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Fnatic | 61c | 4,083$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.26 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Fnatic | 50c | 3,875$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.05 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Fnatic | 60c | 3,530$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.02 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic | 51c | 3,479$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.91 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Team Liquid | 45c | 2,861$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.28 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fnatic | 66c | 2,251$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.58 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid | 47c | 1,878$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.23 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Fnatic | 48c | 1,428$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,421$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…88e1backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,402$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,400$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.56 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…44fbbacked Fnatic | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,072$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.1 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 1,066$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Team Liquid | 36c | 812.78$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.78 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 32c | 748.28$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.09 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fnatic | 51c | 641.66$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.62 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Team Liquid | 41c | 628.57$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.57 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 54c | 575.9$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.97 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 520.09$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…b25cbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Fnatic | 63c | 428.92$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.22 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2701…7d87backed Team Liquid | 37c | 378.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Liquid | 34c | 350.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.95 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid | 37c | 259$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.7 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Team Liquid | 30c | 253.27$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Fnatic | 64c | 235.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Fnatic | 51c | 195.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Fnatic | 51c | 195.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team Liquid | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Team Liquid | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Team Liquid | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Fnatic | 45c | 175.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Team Liquid | 53c | 175.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 40c | 171.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd6…f3b3backed Team Liquid | 79c | 166.95$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Team Liquid | 49c | 164.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Fnatic | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Fnatic | 68c | 135.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…b9fbbacked Team Liquid | 30c | 134.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Team Liquid | 48c | 126.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Team Liquid | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Fnatic | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Team Liquid | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Fnatic | 73c | 90.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed Team Liquid | 34c | 88.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Team Liquid | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Fnatic | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 40c | 64.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…d210backed Team Liquid | 28c | 57.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…9d98backed Team Liquid | 42c | 53.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Team Liquid | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 36c | 45.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Liquid | 42c | 35.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 32.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Team Liquid | 39c | 29.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca9…26bcbacked Fnatic | 41c | 25.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Fnatic | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Fnatic | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fnatic | 51c | 21.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Team Liquid | 74c | 17.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.