TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x211d…3ab7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
665
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT19351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 193 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.56
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.72
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$245.04
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,387Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$683.32
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$308.4
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$606.79
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,449.79
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$587.57
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,485Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$1,485.58
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.46
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+55%+$537.66
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+136.3%+$299.77
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$995
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$448.18
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$198.33
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$793.07
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.57
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$238.15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$392
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$697
Showing 25 of 193 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT17955.9%100 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 179 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,456.27
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$984.65
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,825Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$2,662.88
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$985.93
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+153.3%+$1,498.02
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+74%+$1,073.28
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$341.39
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Roland Garros ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$289.66
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+155.9%+$453.64
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$691.43
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.65
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$388.98
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$214.31
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublikbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$146.84
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,545Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$3,549.77
Showing 25 of 179 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT16344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group Abacked EDward Gaming Youth Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.71
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.03
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$171.43
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$653.77
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.85
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$228.25
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$174.27
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$656.44
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$391.53
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$188.46
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$112.42
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$278.44
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT5158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$538.21
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$270.83
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$380.16
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$459.81
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,013.33
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,041
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,610.92
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$993
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$398
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$501.74
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$208.21
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.56
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$367.88
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$275.18
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$542.26
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.71
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$412.18
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$200.46
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$624.18
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.85
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$320.94
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$372.19
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$417.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$114.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$159.22
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.12
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,887Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$1,415.68
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$291.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$333.33
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$71.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$277.97
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.86
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$178
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$167.57
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$191.28
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$76.62
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$45.56
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$554
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$382.73
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+57.4%+$123.93
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$431.71
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$68.69
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.21
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+43%+$274.51
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$142
Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$151
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+48.4%+$96.84
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+50.6%+$116.97
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$133.06
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,955Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$2,202.43
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,867.23
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$347.52
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Brazil vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$258.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$135.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.