TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xceed…f8eebacked Under42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.968934.8%31 W · 58 L-10.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under52c834$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.3220348.8%99 W · 104 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b56…6ba2backed Over50c799.99$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.993423.5%8 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under42c783$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.922,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Over40c747.09$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.715860.8%96 W · 62 L+12.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under43c718$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.261,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbac…87c5backed Over40c634.34$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.824161%25 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under64c618.98$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.41,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over64c495.3$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31516344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over38c480.63$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.282,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Under62c369.77$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7739266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Under55c362.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5510949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over36c357.55$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.151,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over39c339.34$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0940641.9%170 W · 236 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over58c338.86$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.544746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Under52c327.93$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4127247.8%130 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed Under54c310$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7815146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over67c302.05$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.588053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8b…3a15backed Over42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-65.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c299.29$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.592,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under39c267$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.872,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0045…395dbacked Over48c260$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519f…40c1backed Over58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f0c…1b9cbacked Over48c255$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under36c245$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.131,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Under55c234.1$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4632755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under74c216.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0747047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under40c195.32$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7624650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Under52c187.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.334040%16 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under39c181.95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9974637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Over60c165.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9516640.4%67 W · 99 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under71c160$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7546452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.258943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4813…9c01backed Over58c150.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.181942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9f…894fbacked Under76c135.16$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.586564.6%42 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over36c128$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.683,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Under68c126$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2431244.6%139 W · 173 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under68c126$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2457349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303850%19 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.462649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Over66c114.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7529240.8%119 W · 173 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99ef…184dbacked Under68c112.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4217953.1%95 W · 84 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over43c112.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.751,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over49c104.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5130255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6de…6f5ebacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485437%20 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over23c99.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0448844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over58c94.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5568253.5%365 W · 317 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over58c90.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2611344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under40c89.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6922748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over35c88.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.982,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62ef…f1dcbacked Over24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208441.7%35 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207844.9%35 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Over44c78.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.535223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over34c74.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4640231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under60c73.52$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3215956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5149…acd1backed Over59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68b3…97c8backed Over58c63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.547044.3%31 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.660243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa98d…dff6backed Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274060%24 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Over25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8961…64cebacked Over58c51.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308755.2%48 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked Under71c46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5643453.5%232 W · 202 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf75…cd85backed Over62c43.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad3…e023backed Under55c43.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c40.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.032,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x433a…38e5backed Over54c36.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56946.4%32 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under60c33.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3259647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc79…11d1backed Over60c33.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Over57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.16848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over50c21.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5775150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.