TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdbac…87c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT4161%25 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.77
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.34
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winnerbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anubis Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports Challenger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$9.73
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winnerbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming Youth Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BOMBA Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winnerbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.07
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.16
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.76
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$126.26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$72.16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.79
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.53
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+116.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.04
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $60 June 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$11.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.