Lol · resolved market
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x339704139070a36bf1832ab6d02ec29f957a726d955171042714d0b778653b89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof Vivo Keyd Stars, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 4c | 1,700$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed RED Canids | 69c | 1,658$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.58 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed RED Canids | 66c | 788.99$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.26 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 32c | 480.06$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…de5cbacked RED Canids | 66c | 413.29$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 13c | 347$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 1,456 | 13.2%192 W · 1,264 L | -111.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 30c | 308.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed RED Canids | 66c | 304.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 807 | 50.8%410 W · 397 L | +48.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed RED Canids | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 22c | 222.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 17c | 215.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 32c | 214.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 33c | 208.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RED Canids | 78c | 170.55$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 34c | 169.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 31c | 156.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked RED Canids | 73c | 149$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 26c | 139.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8b…2ce5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 36c | 130.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 33c | 105.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -10.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed RED Canids | 74c | 105.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 30c | 100.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 37c | 81.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 25c | 77.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 29c | 70.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 34c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 619 | 46.5%288 W · 331 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 42c | 69.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed RED Canids | 64c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 1,658 | 46.9%777 W · 881 L | -25.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 35c | 51.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…eb52backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 323 | 45.5%147 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 35c | 49.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 42c | 47.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 353 | 46.2%163 W · 190 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked RED Canids | 64c | 46.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked RED Canids | 76c | 45.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed RED Canids | 65c | 42.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…87c5backed RED Canids | 65c | 38.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked RED Canids | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…8165backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 36c | 28.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 348 | 44.8%156 W · 192 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…dc52backed RED Canids | 79c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…476ebacked RED Canids | 72c | 25.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed RED Canids | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed RED Canids | 60c | 17.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 525 | 43.8%230 W · 295 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)RED Canids won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsRED Canids won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.