Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6ccaf9d57142d930b0b7bb1a12a3f5c976723369a2472047dfc4d7d95a1913c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 58c | 6,058$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.14 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 40c | 1,470$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.13 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Over | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 43c | 1,111$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.73 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Over | 43c | 497.96$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.12 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 60c | 213$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Over | 41c | 109.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked Over | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Under | 59c | 85.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Under | 58c | 85.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 573 | 51.3%294 W · 279 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 41c | 50.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Over | 41c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 60c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)RED Canids won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsRED Canids won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.