TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3ea7…7fc0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lamine Yamal win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.81
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+145.9%+$887.38
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$162.4
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.54
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$557.8
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$756
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$672
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$809.12
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$56.6
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36.4
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.37
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$798
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.45
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$700
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.05
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.95
Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$145.38
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$728
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$187.36
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.54
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$501.82
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$284.38
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$84.89
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$770
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$854
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.68
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$106.04
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,974Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,726
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$31.62
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 Make Finals at MSI 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$910.8
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifierbacked Top Esports Challenger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$504
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$882
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$658
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$630
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$658
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.4
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$714
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$458.19
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23.34
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.92
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$232.98
Game Handicap: YG (-1.5) vs InterActive Philippines (+1.5)backed InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$686
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Mentality Monster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$406
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.45
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.39
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Dota 2: Hokori vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hokori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.25
Dota 2: Hokori vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$122.76
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Cloud Rising - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud Rising · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$250.82
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$650.24
Abidjan 2: Robert Strombachs vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$80.09
Saint-Malo: Elsa Jacquemot vs Bianca Andreescubacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$39.1
Ostrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Saint-Malo: Chloe Paquet vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Whitney Osuigwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$89.08
Shymkent 2: Amir Omarkhanov vs Denis Yevseyevbacked Amir Omarkhanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.04
Abidjan 2: Maks Kasnikowski vs Cesar Bouchelaghembacked Cesar Bouchelaghem · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,996Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,445.56
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Sloane Stephensbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+116.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,169.79
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$51
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$549.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$820
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,030.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$598.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Pat Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,547Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$953.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$982.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$619
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.