Tennis · resolved market
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Sloane Stephens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fec0d9fc46f041a773ae4c102c0fe4b5b73c5e09ff8b562637c0970efcbf219
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tereza Valentovaof Tereza Valentova, Sloane Stephens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sloane Stephens | 18c | 4,712$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.29 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Sloane Stephens | 9c | 3,312$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.45 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…c9a3backed Sloane Stephens | 10c | 2,320$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Sloane Stephens | 19c | 1,001$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sloane Stephens | 16c | 592.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Sloane Stephens | 17c | 512.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Sloane Stephens | 11c | 430.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Sloane Stephens | 23c | 355.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sloane Stephens | 13c | 325.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sloane Stephens | 11c | 202.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Sloane Stephens | 25c | 197.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Tereza Valentova | 77c | 179.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Tereza Valentova | 76c | 167.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Sloane Stephens | 23c | 143.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Sloane Stephens | 15c | 132.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Sloane Stephens | 25c | 118.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sloane Stephens | 15c | 117.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Sloane Stephens | 15c | 103.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Tereza Valentova | 77c | 102.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sloane Stephens | 23c | 102.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sloane Stephens | 19c | 97.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -13.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Sloane Stephens | 17c | 94.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Tereza Valentova | 75c | 89.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Tereza Valentova | 76c | 79.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Sloane Stephens | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 72.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tereza Valentova | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Tereza Valentova | 75c | 63.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Sloane Stephens | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…af8fbacked Sloane Stephens | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Tereza Valentova | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Sloane Stephens | 27c | 41.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tereza Valentova | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Tereza Valentova | 78c | 35.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Tereza Valentova | 76c | 34.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 217 | 65.9%143 W · 74 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Tereza Valentova | 76c | 31.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Tereza Valentova | 75c | 28.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Tereza Valentova | 76c | 26.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…e11cbacked Tereza Valentova | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Tereza Valentova | 76c | 25.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Tereza Valentova | 76c | 24.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8e80backed Tereza Valentova | 77c | 24.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tereza Valentova | 76c | 23.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Tereza Valentova | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed Tereza Valentova | 75c | 19.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Sloane Stephensthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Valentova vs StephensValentova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.