CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c7ad651e163c65fa7b843037f3cd0cb333f34de208267464474fb28d542fa15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Spirit, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,117,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,140,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,117,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 542 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 484,266$180,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303,866.58 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit | 63c | 404,000$255,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255,688.28 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 216,001$78,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,115.42 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 63c | 101,000$63,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,630 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 62c | 70,000$43,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,400 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Spirit | 63c | 59,133$37,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,187.87 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 44,186$16,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,081.76 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 35,000$13,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,403.65 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spirit | 62c | 31,222$19,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,464.68 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900.12 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 26,927$9,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,083.08 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 61c | 26,772$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,400 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Spirit | 1c | 23,400$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 20,093$7,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,256.8 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Spirit | 63c | 15,673$9,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,873.88 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Spirit | 64c | 15,361$9,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,831.04 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 14,503$5,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,137.04 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Spirit | 61c | 13,974$8,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,570.53 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Spirit | 61c | 13,188$8,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,089.56 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 13,174$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,175.39 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…e8c7backed Spirit | 62c | 12,277$7,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,606.36 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 12,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,319.99 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 11,500$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,014.96 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed Spirit | 60c | 11,418$6,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,824.28 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Spirit | 63c | 10,804$6,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,813.7 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Spirit | 61c | 10,492$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 10,179$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,492.77 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit | 63c | 10,159$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Spirit | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Spirit | 62c | 9,975$6,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,184.34 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 8,300$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 8,285$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.59 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…9551backed Spirit | 64c | 7,952$5,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,089.43 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Spirit | 63c | 7,646$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.08 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 40c | 7,610$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.41 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Spirit | 60c | 7,204$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.2 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Spirit | 63c | 7,170$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 6,006$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.24 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Spirit | 63c | 5,555$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.51 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Spirit | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spirit | 61c | 4,963$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.38 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Spirit | 2c | 4,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 4,439$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.36 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Spirit | 61c | 4,278$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…ea53backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 4,209$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.34 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Spirit | 2c | 4,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.96 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Spirit | 61c | 3,869$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 3,699$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.02 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Spirit | 66c | 3,287$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Spirit | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Spirit | 64c | 3,077$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.28 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,892$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.5 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…de7fbacked Spirit | 63c | 2,885$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.91 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Spirit | 64c | 2,731$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.22 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Spirit | 63c | 2,660$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.18 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Spirit | 60c | 2,583$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked Spirit | 61c | 2,548$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.44 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Spirit | 23c | 2,534$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.87 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…c111backed Spirit | 61c | 2,533$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,513$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.17 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Spirit | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…400dbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,394$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…cc6abacked Spirit | 64c | 2,291$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.37 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Spirit | 14c | 2,220$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.01 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…8ca6backed Spirit | 63c | 2,198$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.82 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Spirit | 50c | 2,124$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.64 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 2,106$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.14 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Spirit | 48c | 2,105$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Spirit | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit | 32c | 1,888$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.87 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Spirit | 60c | 1,808$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.4 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,758$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.33 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit | 62c | 1,750$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Spirit | 58c | 1,737$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Spirit | 52c | 1,733$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.79 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86af…f384backed Spirit | 61c | 1,677$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.69 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 1,675$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.42 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,622$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Spirit | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 1,500$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Spirit | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Spirit | 3c | 1,495$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,456$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.83 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Spirit | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Spirit | 60c | 1,391$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.9 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Spirit | 64c | 1,343$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.34 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 1,325$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.87 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Spirit | 61c | 1,307$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.11 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Spirit | 61c | 1,217$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.78 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,178$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.38 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Spirit | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 1,158$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.31 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Spirit | 60c | 1,155$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Spirit | 53c | 1,143$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.11 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.