TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9f9…cc6a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT6358.7%37 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.52
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84.97
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.17
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$128.99
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.18
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$310.5
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.27
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.09
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$332.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+171.8%+$59.15
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$47.81
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.87
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.07
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.4
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$70.56
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.17
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$76.66
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$19.06
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,473.37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.57
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,301Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$410.72
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$709.2
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$234.07
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.53
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,206.16
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Abacked Abyssal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.42
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$456.67
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$72.6
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.87
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.23
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.15
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$158.68
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$19.62
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$138.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.41
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$136.66
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$159.64
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.41
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$28.39
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$32.15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$67.18
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$46.35
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.33
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+148.5%+$146.45
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.84
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+236%+$856.49
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.43
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$53.13
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.93
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$10.6
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$29.57
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.83
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.81
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$112.81
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.