NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefc0ce59e0a12122d13893f2257a0dd23103c6feb05cbe3cfd5df717bfdd6352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,314,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,419,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,314,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 572 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 47c | 249,765$117,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,389.45 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 53c | 242,834$128,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,131.83 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 52c | 235,586$123,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,454.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lakers | 47c | 138,788$65,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,030.15 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Thunder | 51c | 130,000$66,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,699.95 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Lakers | 49c | 60,297$29,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,545.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Lakers | 47c | 57,921$27,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,222.84 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Lakers | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,499.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Lakers | 47c | 48,267$22,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,685.7 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Thunder | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Lakers | 13c | 29,867$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.3 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder | 55c | 29,317$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,317.22 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Thunder | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Thunder | 52c | 22,769$11,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,929.11 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Lakers | 48c | 20,468$9,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,824.63 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Lakers | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 46c | 20,068$9,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,252.04 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder | 51c | 20,050$10,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,778.55 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…9ba2backed Lakers | 50c | 19,798$9,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Lakers | 46c | 19,000$8,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,739.99 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 51c | 16,457$8,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,086.58 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 76c | 15,846$12,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.3 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 47c | 15,693$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Lakers | 49c | 15,102$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Lakers | 49c | 12,592$6,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,170.08 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 50c | 11,444$5,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,721.76 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…06d9backed Lakers | 49c | 10,678$5,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 53c | 10,363$5,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,822.05 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 53c | 10,357$5,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.63 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Lakers | 47c | 10,322$4,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.07 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lakers | 46c | 10,024$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595.14 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Lakers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.98 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Lakers | 49c | 9,796$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.04 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 54c | 8,414$4,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.35 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6426…ff48backed Lakers | 49c | 7,740$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Lakers | 49c | 7,664$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…f828backed Lakers | 50c | 7,478$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Lakers | 50c | 7,231$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.06 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 31c | 6,882$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.47 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Lakers | 20c | 6,776$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.25 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0e…6257backed Lakers | 49c | 6,593$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Lakers | 46c | 6,309$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.13 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…aad2backed Lakers | 50c | 6,122$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Thunder | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Thunder | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Thunder | 54c | 5,965$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.81 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 47c | 5,964$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.4 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…afe6backed Lakers | 49c | 5,883$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Lakers | 49c | 5,714$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Lakers | 49c | 5,678$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Thunder | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 16c | 5,577$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.27 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Thunder | 54c | 5,569$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Lakers | 14c | 5,531$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.3 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Thunder | 51c | 5,400$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaef…077fbacked Lakers | 49c | 5,288$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…95b0backed Thunder | 64c | 5,258$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.31 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Thunder | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Thunder | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 52c | 4,364$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Lakers | 50c | 4,215$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.5 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 46c | 4,068$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers | 49c | 4,060$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.45 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Lakers | 47c | 4,040$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.75 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Lakers | 50c | 4,012$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…6201backed Thunder | 54c | 3,848$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Lakers | 48c | 3,750$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 48c | 3,736$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.59 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Thunder | 76c | 3,707$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.24 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 60c | 3,483$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.57 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lakers | 44c | 3,386$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.95 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Thunder | 37c | 3,103$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.21 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Lakers | 49c | 3,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lakers | 46c | 3,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lakers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.97 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Lakers | 48c | 2,987$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.59 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Thunder | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lakers | 46c | 2,596$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.78 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Lakers | 48c | 2,565$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.3 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lakers | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Lakers | 50c | 2,478$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.07 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Lakers | 49c | 2,402$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.88 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Thunder | 50c | 2,400$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Lakers | 49c | 2,123$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.33 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Lakers | 47c | 2,106$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Lakers | 60c | 2,084$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.08 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,080$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.39 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Thunder | 52c | 2,079$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.74 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.47 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Lakers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…b442backed Thunder | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Lakers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Thunder | 60c | 1,977$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.11 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,909$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.54 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Thunder | 53c | 1,874$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.71 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.