NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37f51428b47ea3206cb701707031c2bdf31d9a971a74a23856f47a09d5e782f9

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $109,861
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $122,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,861 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd202…8973backed Over	46c	18,741$8,621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,119.89	76	50%38 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	54c	17,576$9,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,421.17	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under	51c	15,746$8,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,029.88	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over	46c	15,000$6,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,099.96	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	49c	14,934$7,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,616.34	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Over	47c	9,206$4,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,879.25	42	76.2%32 W · 10 L	+5.6wins	+0.13per pick	63cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under	54c	9,192$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Under	54c	4,074$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Under	54c	3,800$2,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,051.99	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	53c	3,464$1,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,835.83	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under	36c	3,000$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089.98	207	44%91 W · 116 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	54c	2,922$1,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,571.59	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb7b…3051backed Under	51c	2,157$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over	46c	2,000$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over	48c	1,940$929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010.33	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	53c	1,831$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.43	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under	54c	1,783$963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x399f…e8d8backed Under	1c	1,667$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over	49c	1,587$778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.42	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	47c	1,384$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.79	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Over	60c	1,381$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.2	180	44.4%80 W · 100 L	+15.8wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	54c	1,307$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.03	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under	54c	1,272$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under	29c	908$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.24	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Over	71c	900$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under	54c	795.81$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.74	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under	54c	760.72$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.79	165	55.8%92 W · 73 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	46c	673.49$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.69	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	54c	668.95$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.96	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	45c	663.19$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.75	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over	47c	653.19$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.19	155	43.2%67 W · 88 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	40c	569.75$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.9	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	31c	552.47$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.58	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over	46c	500$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	65c	490.91$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.82	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over	67c	447.77$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.77	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over	47c	431.97$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.94	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Under	54c	400$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over	65c	391.49$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.61	218	48.2%105 W · 113 L	+11.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	49c	303.26$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.2	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	197	56.3%111 W · 86 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	51c	265.71$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.11	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Under	35c	257.34$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	57c	255.88$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.23	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Over	80c	250.11$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.11	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under	53c	249.99$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.5	156	50%78 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3605…e7cbbacked Over	73c	244.53$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.69	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+14%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	145	49%71 W · 74 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Under	54c	216.67$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	241	39%94 W · 147 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Under	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	355	32.4%115 W · 240 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48d8…c70fbacked Over	80c	187.59$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.59	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under	20c	149.26$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over	51c	144.98$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.04	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed Under	61c	140.48$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.69	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over	72c	139$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under	53c	136$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.54	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Over	65c	115.57$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.57	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under	10c	113.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f4…03b0backed Over	48c	102.08$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.08	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over	50c	102$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	477	38.2%182 W · 295 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	256	51.2%131 W · 125 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeedb…f631backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6607…5bd9backed Under	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	-7.3wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Under	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	231	40.3%93 W · 138 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Under	45c	99.98$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.99	232	46.1%107 W · 125 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x635c…5a00backed Under	54c	96$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.84	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68ee…f785backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	45c	93.8$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.28	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over	59c	92.81$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.05	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac45…844fbacked Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29e3…0d66backed Under	54c	90.41$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under	13c	88.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	335	56.7%190 W · 145 L	+26.4wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe192…c237backed Under	54c	85.69$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.27	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9599…a226backed Over	47c	85.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	40c	83.07$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.23	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	52c	82.34$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.82	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	31c	81.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.33	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa89b…3c2bbacked Under	22c	80$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under	17c	79.36$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	216	40.3%87 W · 129 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	53c	78.88$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.81	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	46c	76.76$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.28	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb89…e930backed Over	54c	74.22$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.22	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	108	43.5%47 W · 61 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	400	48.3%193 W · 207 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c6e…c234backed Over	75c	60$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+28%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	49c	59.99$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.59	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Under	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Over	65c	55.38$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.38	317	48.9%155 W · 162 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd337…7564backed Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa543…9a38backed Under	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	125	39.2%49 W · 76 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Under	36c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	395	48.4%191 W · 204 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under	50c	49.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.83	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under	54c	45.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.65	210	56.7%119 W · 91 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0881…356abacked Over	47c	42.11$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.11	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Lakers won
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Lakers won
Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5No won
Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5Over won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event